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Pakistan asks US if sanctions on Iran will impact gas pipeline project

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  • US hasn’t responded to Pakistan yet.
  • Iran terms US sanctions “illegal.”
  • It’s been almost 13 years since the agreement was signed.

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan has asked the United States if its sanctions on Iran will impact the much-delayed gas pipeline project, a senior official at the Energy Ministry told The News.

The official said the ministry has informally asked the authorities several times, while the State Minister for Petroleum Musadik Malik has also taken up the matter with US functionaries during his recent US visit.

“While coming back home, he also met US officials in Qatar and agitated the issue if the US sanctions imposed on Iran will impact Pakistan if it goes for IP gas line project,” the official added.

Earlier, Special Assistant to the Prime Minister on Foreign Affairs Syed Tariq Fatemi had also spoken to the US authorities about the issue.

“So far, the US has not responded to this effect,” the official said, adding that Pakistan needs a response from the American government to make the final decision on the very important project.

Pakistani authorities are now optimistic about the project, particularly keeping in view of the new era of friendship between Saudi Arabia and Iran backed by Beijing and new geo-strategic alignments. “In the past, there had also been opposition to the project from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.”

In the latest development, Tehran asked Islamabad in January 2023 to construct a portion of the Iran-Pakistan (IP) gas pipeline project in its territory till February-March 2024, or be ready to pay a penalty of $18 billion.

During the visit, Iranian authorities claimed that the US sanctions on Iran were illegal and that Pakistan, under the revised agreement, was bound to build the pipeline by February-March 2024. Iran had already completed part of the pipeline in its own territory from the gas field to the Pakistan border.

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif had formed a three-member committee headed by Fatemi on how to advance on the issue given the Iranian warning to move French arbitration against Pakistan.

The committee had proposed to engage Iran on the issue and also to launch diplomatic endeavours with US functionaries on various levels to know the impact of sanctions against Iran on Pakistan in case the project gets commissioned.

The IP gas pipeline project was to be completed by December 2014, and gas flow intake was to start from January 2015 but Pakistan could not initiate the pipeline from the Iranian border to Nawabshah.

The Gas Sales Purchase Agreement (GSPA) was signed in 2009 for 25 years. Almost 13 years have passed since the signing of the agreement, and the three-year construction period for the pipeline in Pakistani territory has been wasted. Under the agreement, Pakistan was supposed to lay down in its territory a 781-kilometre pipeline from the Iranian border to Nawabshah.

Under the original agreement, Pakistan is bound to pay $1 million per day to Iran from January 1, 2015, under the penalty clause. And in case Iran moves an arbitration court, Pakistan would have to pay billions of dollars as a penalty. But in Sept 2019, the Inter State Gas Systems of Pakistan (ISGSP) and the National Iranian Gas Company (NIGC) inked a revised agreement for the construction of the gas pipeline.

Under the revised accord, Iran would not approach any international court if there was a delay in the construction of the pipeline, and neither would Pakistan pay any fine to Iran till 2024.

However, after February-March 2024, Iran would be free to approach arbitration against Pakistan. The Islamic Republic reminded Pakistan about the completion deadline of the project, an official said.

The News broke the story in its edition of January 31, 2023, with the headline “Iran dangles the threat of $18 billion penalty over the pipeline project.” On completion, Pakistan would have an intake of 750 million cubic feet of gas from Iran daily.

In the meeting, the official said, it was decided that diplomatic efforts would also be initiated to convince Iran that Pakistan was quite serious about the project and would persuade the authorities not to seek a penalty in case Pakistan fails to meet the deadline of February-March 2024.

They said the country will be trying to get a waiver or relief from the US on the sanctions imposed on Iran. 

“Now there are only US sanctions left as the UN curbs are no longer there on Iran for its nuclear programme,” the official said. 

“Pakistan is an energy-starved country and it needs relief from the US sanctions so that it can erect the pipeline to ensure sustainable gas availability.”

Iran says the US sanctions are illegal. Experts say sanctions do not bar the construction of the pipeline, but only on gas flows from Iran. India also got a US waiver and has been getting crude oil from Iran since a long time.

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The PSX has resumed operations, achieving a gain of 970 points.

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The optimistic close at the PSX was propelled by rumors preceding the International Monetary Fund (IMF) executive board meeting on September 25, at which the approval of a $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) is expected, stated Ahsan Mehanti of Arif Habib Commodities.

Strong economic indicators, such as increasing remittances, escalating exports, and a declining trade deficit, further bolstered investor confidence. Furthermore, the Asian Development Bank’s (ADB) commitment to a $2 billion yearly concessional loan until 2027, along with a robust rupee, significantly contributed to the market’s favorable performance, he stated.

Widespread purchasing at the PSX was noted among blue-chip stocks, with major players like Mari Petroleum (MARI), Engro Fertilizers (EFERT), United Bank Limited (UBL), Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL), and Fauji Fertilizer Company (FFC) recording substantial increases. According to Topline Securities, these stocks collectively resulted in a significant 682-point increase in the index.

Pioneer Cement Limited (PIOC) announced its fiscal year 2024 results, revealing a profits per share (EPS) of Rs 22.79 and a cash dividend of Rs 10 per share. This announcement contributed to the favorable sentiment in the market.

Trading volume surpassed 400.2 million shares, resulting in a total turnover of Rs15.9 billion. Worldcall Telecom Limited (WTL) topped the volume chart, transacting more than 32.2 million shares.

The Large Scale Manufacturing Index (LSMI) demonstrated a year-on-year (YoY) gain of 2.4% in July 2024. This expansion was propelled by multiple critical areas.

Tobacco experienced a significant increase of 90.2%, establishing it as the foremost contributor to the LSMI growth. Conversely, the automotive sector witnessed a substantial increase of 72.0%, indicating robust demand and output.

The transport equipment category experienced an 11.7% increase, signifying robust growth in the manufacturing of transport-related machinery and equipment. The other manufacturing sector experienced a gain of 10.7%, positively impacting the overall LSMI.

Nevertheless, not all industries exhibited strong performance. The leading decliner was the fabricated metal sector, which experienced an 18.4% decrease, signifying a contraction in metal product manufacturing. The electrical equipment industry experienced a substantial decline of 19.4%, indicative of reduced output levels.

In July 2024, the LSMI decreased by 2.1% on a month-on-month (MoM) basis. This fall signifies a minor contraction in manufacturing operations relative to the preceding month, although the favorable year-on-year growth.

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As of August 2024, Pakistan’s current account is in surplus.

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Pakistan’s current account deficit was $161 million as of August 2023, according to figures from the central bank.

The current account deficit for the months of July and August of this year was $171 million, compared to $939 million for the same time in the previous fiscal year.

According to experts, the 40% rise in remittances is the primary cause of the current account surplus.

August saw US$ 2.9 billion in offshore remittances to Pakistan, according to experts.

Comparing July of this year to July of last year, total exports increased by 11.3% YoY to $3.01 billion. In contrast to the $3.08 billion in exports the month before, it decreased by 2.2%.

Compared to the $4.99 billion in imports recorded in July of previous year, total imports increased 12.2% YoY to $5.6 billion. Imports decreased by 1.3% over the previous month.

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Islamic Sukuk Bonds: Government Is Expected To Begin Bond Auction Next Week

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There is now more positive economic news for the people of Pakistan. The government is anticipated to begin the Sukuk Islamic Bond auction next week, after the central bank’s announcement of a large drop in the policy rate.

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