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Pakistan anticipates $10bn refinery agreement with Saudi Arabia in 2023

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  • SIFC exploring options to secure around $7bn from Saudi Arabia.
  • KSA also likely to procure stakes in $7 billion Reko Diq project.
  • Agriculture corporate farm lease of 85,000 acres on cards too.

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan is anticipating the long-awaited $10 billion agreement with Saudi Arabia’s oil titan, Aramco, for the construction of a refinery in Hub to reach its finalisation this year, The News has learnt.

Additionally, the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC), a collaboration between the military and civilian authorities, is exploring options to secure approximately $7 billion from Saudi Arabia, granting the kingdom stakes in the Reko Diq project.

Sources have confirmed that the necessary policy incentives have been greenlit under the Greenfield Refinery Policy 2023, aiming to attract investment from Saudi Arabia.

“It is also expected that Saudi Arabia might procure stakes in the $7 billion Reko Diq project through a feasible transaction model with the help of Saudi Wealth Fund,” said a top official.

The agriculture corporate farm lease of 85,000 acres of land to potential foreign investors is also on cards, sources told The News on Tuesday.

The SIFC will be developing a transaction pipeline to expedite investment in critical infrastructure.

Through government-to-government (G2G) transactions, the SIFC was told in recent weeks that the government would fast-track the G2G arrangements for energy, minerals, agriculture and IT.

The Framework for Inter-Governmental Commercial Transactions is in place.

The SIFC deliberated upon options for G2G arrangements for the privatisation of SOEs, wherever feasible.

The first transaction was already executed between the Karachi Port Trust (KPT) and AD Ports, UAE, for the container terminal in Karachi. The second transaction between the KPT and AD Ports for the outsourcing of operations of Bulk and General Cargo Terminal is to be finalised expeditiously. The SIFC will also explore options for technology-driven investments to boost productivity in the country.

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The PSX has resumed operations, achieving a gain of 970 points.

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The optimistic close at the PSX was propelled by rumors preceding the International Monetary Fund (IMF) executive board meeting on September 25, at which the approval of a $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) is expected, stated Ahsan Mehanti of Arif Habib Commodities.

Strong economic indicators, such as increasing remittances, escalating exports, and a declining trade deficit, further bolstered investor confidence. Furthermore, the Asian Development Bank’s (ADB) commitment to a $2 billion yearly concessional loan until 2027, along with a robust rupee, significantly contributed to the market’s favorable performance, he stated.

Widespread purchasing at the PSX was noted among blue-chip stocks, with major players like Mari Petroleum (MARI), Engro Fertilizers (EFERT), United Bank Limited (UBL), Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL), and Fauji Fertilizer Company (FFC) recording substantial increases. According to Topline Securities, these stocks collectively resulted in a significant 682-point increase in the index.

Pioneer Cement Limited (PIOC) announced its fiscal year 2024 results, revealing a profits per share (EPS) of Rs 22.79 and a cash dividend of Rs 10 per share. This announcement contributed to the favorable sentiment in the market.

Trading volume surpassed 400.2 million shares, resulting in a total turnover of Rs15.9 billion. Worldcall Telecom Limited (WTL) topped the volume chart, transacting more than 32.2 million shares.

The Large Scale Manufacturing Index (LSMI) demonstrated a year-on-year (YoY) gain of 2.4% in July 2024. This expansion was propelled by multiple critical areas.

Tobacco experienced a significant increase of 90.2%, establishing it as the foremost contributor to the LSMI growth. Conversely, the automotive sector witnessed a substantial increase of 72.0%, indicating robust demand and output.

The transport equipment category experienced an 11.7% increase, signifying robust growth in the manufacturing of transport-related machinery and equipment. The other manufacturing sector experienced a gain of 10.7%, positively impacting the overall LSMI.

Nevertheless, not all industries exhibited strong performance. The leading decliner was the fabricated metal sector, which experienced an 18.4% decrease, signifying a contraction in metal product manufacturing. The electrical equipment industry experienced a substantial decline of 19.4%, indicative of reduced output levels.

In July 2024, the LSMI decreased by 2.1% on a month-on-month (MoM) basis. This fall signifies a minor contraction in manufacturing operations relative to the preceding month, although the favorable year-on-year growth.

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As of August 2024, Pakistan’s current account is in surplus.

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Pakistan’s current account deficit was $161 million as of August 2023, according to figures from the central bank.

The current account deficit for the months of July and August of this year was $171 million, compared to $939 million for the same time in the previous fiscal year.

According to experts, the 40% rise in remittances is the primary cause of the current account surplus.

August saw US$ 2.9 billion in offshore remittances to Pakistan, according to experts.

Comparing July of this year to July of last year, total exports increased by 11.3% YoY to $3.01 billion. In contrast to the $3.08 billion in exports the month before, it decreased by 2.2%.

Compared to the $4.99 billion in imports recorded in July of previous year, total imports increased 12.2% YoY to $5.6 billion. Imports decreased by 1.3% over the previous month.

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Islamic Sukuk Bonds: Government Is Expected To Begin Bond Auction Next Week

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There is now more positive economic news for the people of Pakistan. The government is anticipated to begin the Sukuk Islamic Bond auction next week, after the central bank’s announcement of a large drop in the policy rate.

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