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Car sales see 30% decline YoY in Sept amid high prices, interest rates

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  • PAMA says 6,410 cars sold in Sept 2023. 
  • In Sept 2022, 9,213 units were sold.
  • Sales rise 8% compared to August.

KARACHI: Car sales saw a 30% decline year-on-year in September amid high prices and interest rates, The News reported citing an industry data body.

The Pakistan Automotive Manufacturers Association (PAMA) said 6,410 cars were sold in September 2023 compared to the 9,213 sold in the same month last year. However, sales rose 8% in September compared to August due to the lifting of import restrictions.

For the first quarter of the fiscal year 2023/24, passenger car sales dropped 44% to 16,021 units, compared with 28,571 units in the same period last year.

Sales of 1,300cc and above cars declined by 38% to reach 2,939 units, last year sales of such cars was 4,715 units. However, it increased by 27% against 2,310 units in August.

In September, 691 units of 1,000cc were sold compared to 1,517 units sold during the same month last year. Below 1,000cc vehicles recorded a sale of 2,780 units, down 7% against 2,981 units of last year. This category of cars also recorded a month-on-month decline against 2,935 units in August.

At least 185 units of buses and trucks were sold in September 2023 compared to the 378 units sold in the same month last year. Sales increased on a month-on-month basis against 167 units in August.

On the other hand, the sale of jeeps and pick-ups declined to 1,902 units from 2,075 units sold during the same period last year. But like all other categories, it saw an increase on a month-on-month basis. Sales of tractors rose to 5,445 units from 2,149 units in September last year.

The sale of rickshaws and motorbikes increased to 107,084 units during September 23 against 99,581 units in the same period last year.

Topline Securities Analyst Sunny Kumar credited the monthly increase in car sales to the easing of import issues for completely knocked down (CKD) kits on which the car manufacturers rely for the assembly of cars.

“However, escalating car prices, expensive auto financing and the low purchasing power of consumers are among the primary reasons for the decline in year-on-year sales,” he added.

Among manufacturers, Honda Atlas Car (HCAR) recorded the highest increase of 99% month-on-month, as it sold 1,342 units in Sep-2023 but it was largely due to the low base the company had the previous month when it was only able to sell 674 units.

Pak Suzuki (PSMC) was the only one that recorded a decline of 1% month-on-month to 4,234 units in Sep-2023 led by 8% month-on-month decline in sales of Alto. Other variants including Ravi, Bolan and Cultus recorded an increase of 58% month-on-month, 38% month-on-month and 9% month-on-month, respectively. Swift and Wagon-R sales remain flat month-on-month at 506 and 359 units in Sep-2023.

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The PSX has resumed operations, achieving a gain of 970 points.

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The optimistic close at the PSX was propelled by rumors preceding the International Monetary Fund (IMF) executive board meeting on September 25, at which the approval of a $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) is expected, stated Ahsan Mehanti of Arif Habib Commodities.

Strong economic indicators, such as increasing remittances, escalating exports, and a declining trade deficit, further bolstered investor confidence. Furthermore, the Asian Development Bank’s (ADB) commitment to a $2 billion yearly concessional loan until 2027, along with a robust rupee, significantly contributed to the market’s favorable performance, he stated.

Widespread purchasing at the PSX was noted among blue-chip stocks, with major players like Mari Petroleum (MARI), Engro Fertilizers (EFERT), United Bank Limited (UBL), Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL), and Fauji Fertilizer Company (FFC) recording substantial increases. According to Topline Securities, these stocks collectively resulted in a significant 682-point increase in the index.

Pioneer Cement Limited (PIOC) announced its fiscal year 2024 results, revealing a profits per share (EPS) of Rs 22.79 and a cash dividend of Rs 10 per share. This announcement contributed to the favorable sentiment in the market.

Trading volume surpassed 400.2 million shares, resulting in a total turnover of Rs15.9 billion. Worldcall Telecom Limited (WTL) topped the volume chart, transacting more than 32.2 million shares.

The Large Scale Manufacturing Index (LSMI) demonstrated a year-on-year (YoY) gain of 2.4% in July 2024. This expansion was propelled by multiple critical areas.

Tobacco experienced a significant increase of 90.2%, establishing it as the foremost contributor to the LSMI growth. Conversely, the automotive sector witnessed a substantial increase of 72.0%, indicating robust demand and output.

The transport equipment category experienced an 11.7% increase, signifying robust growth in the manufacturing of transport-related machinery and equipment. The other manufacturing sector experienced a gain of 10.7%, positively impacting the overall LSMI.

Nevertheless, not all industries exhibited strong performance. The leading decliner was the fabricated metal sector, which experienced an 18.4% decrease, signifying a contraction in metal product manufacturing. The electrical equipment industry experienced a substantial decline of 19.4%, indicative of reduced output levels.

In July 2024, the LSMI decreased by 2.1% on a month-on-month (MoM) basis. This fall signifies a minor contraction in manufacturing operations relative to the preceding month, although the favorable year-on-year growth.

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As of August 2024, Pakistan’s current account is in surplus.

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Pakistan’s current account deficit was $161 million as of August 2023, according to figures from the central bank.

The current account deficit for the months of July and August of this year was $171 million, compared to $939 million for the same time in the previous fiscal year.

According to experts, the 40% rise in remittances is the primary cause of the current account surplus.

August saw US$ 2.9 billion in offshore remittances to Pakistan, according to experts.

Comparing July of this year to July of last year, total exports increased by 11.3% YoY to $3.01 billion. In contrast to the $3.08 billion in exports the month before, it decreased by 2.2%.

Compared to the $4.99 billion in imports recorded in July of previous year, total imports increased 12.2% YoY to $5.6 billion. Imports decreased by 1.3% over the previous month.

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Islamic Sukuk Bonds: Government Is Expected To Begin Bond Auction Next Week

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There is now more positive economic news for the people of Pakistan. The government is anticipated to begin the Sukuk Islamic Bond auction next week, after the central bank’s announcement of a large drop in the policy rate.

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