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As a stepping stone for the IMF program, the tough and unpopular budget: Abdul Rahman

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After meeting all of the criteria set out by the lender in its annual budget, Pakistan is aiming to secure a staff-level agreement on an IMF rescue of over $6 billion this month, according to Reuters, who spoke with the country’s junior finance minister.

In an effort to secure a loan from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and prevent another economic collapse, the South Asian nation has set ambitious revenue objectives in its yearly budget, despite growing domestic unrest over new taxing policies.

Minister of State for Finance, Revenue and Power Ali Pervaiz Malik stated on Wednesday that the goal is to reach an agreement at the staff level before the IMF board takes a break, adding that they want to conclude the process within the next three to four weeks.

Regarding the package’s size, he stated, “I think it will be north of $6 billion,” though he stressed that the main focus right now was on the IMF’s accreditation.

With a fiscal deficit that dropped sharply to 5.9 percent of GDP from 7.4 percent the year before, Pakistan aimed for tax collection of 13 trillion rupees ($47 billion) for the fiscal year that started on July 1, a near-40 percent increase from the next year.

The goal of implementing a harsh and unpopular budget, according to Malik, was to pave the way for an IMF program, and the lender was pleased with the revenue measures implemented after their discussions.

Consumers hit hard by food export surge, trade imbalance in Pakistan falls 12.3 percent

“There are no major issues left to address, now that all major prior actions have been met, the budget being one of them,” added Malik.

The budget might get the go light from the IMF, but experts say it might make the public even more furious.

“Obviously they (budget reforms) are burdensome for the local economy but the IMF programme is all about stabilisation,” Malik pointed out.

Given Pakistan’s impending debt repayments and the aftermath of the unwinding of capital and import restrictions, economist Sakib Sherani of private firm Macro Economic Insights warned that the country’s currency and foreign exchange reserves would be under pressure unless the IMF and Pakistan reached a swift agreement.

“If it takes longer, then the central bank may be forced to temporarily re-instate import and capital controls,” he added. “There will be a period of uncertainty, and one casualty is likely to be the rally in equities.”

The benchmark share index of Pakistan climbed 1% during trading on Wednesday, hitting an intraday high of 80,348 points at 0640 GMT, a new record.

With persistent hope for a rescue package from the International Monetary Fund to support the faltering economy, the index has risen by about 10% since the budget was unveiled on June 12.

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Irfan Siddiqui meets with the PM and informs him about the Senate performance of the parliamentary party.

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The head of the Senate’s Foreign Affairs Standing Committee and the PML-N’s parliamentary leader paid Prime Minister Muhammad Shehbaz Sharif a visit in Islamabad.

Senator Irfan Siddiqui gave the Prime Minister an update on the Parliamentary Party’s Senate performance.

Additionally, Senator Irfan Siddiqui gave the Prime Minister an update on the Senate Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs’ performance.

He complimented the Prime Minister on his outstanding efforts to bring Pakistan’s economy back on track and meet its economic objectives.

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SIFC Increases Direct Foreign Investment: Investment in the Energy Sector Rises by 120%

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The Special Investment Facilitation Council is intended to help Pakistan’s energy sector attract $585.6 million in direct foreign investment in 2024–2025. The amount invested at the same time previous year was $266.3 million.

This is a notable 120% rise, mostly due to investments in gas exploration, oil, and power. Such expansion indicates heightened investor confidence and emphasizes the development potential in important areas.

The State Bank reports that foreign investment in other vital industries has increased by 48% to $771 million.

This advancement is a blatant testament to SIFC’s efficient investment procedure and quick project execution.

The purpose of the Special Investment Facilitation Council is to establish Pakistan as an investment hub by aggressively promoting regional trade and investment in the energy sector and other critical industries.

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Discos report losses of Rs239 billion.

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When compared to the same period last year, the data indicates that discos have decreased their losses in the first quarter of the current fiscal year.

The distribution businesses recorded losses of Rs239 billion in the first three months of the current fiscal year, a substantial decrease from the Rs308 billion losses sustained during the same period the previous year.

Additionally, the distribution businesses’ rate of recovery has improved. It has increased to 91% in the first quarter of this year from 84% in the same period last year, indicating success in revenue collection.

Regarding circular debt, the Power division observed a notable change. Last year, between July and October, the circular debt grew by Rs301 billion. Nonetheless, this year’s first four months saw a relatively modest increase in circular debt, totaling about Rs11 billion.

These enhancements show promising developments in the electricity sector’s financial health in Pakistan, where initiatives are being made to accelerate recovery rates and slow the expansion of circular debt.

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