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Bulls return to PSX after IMF greenlights govt’s circular debt plan

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The bulls returned to the Pakistan Stock Exchange on Wednesday after the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved the government’s plans to reduce the circular debt balance.

The benchmark KSE-100 Index closed the day on a positive note with gain of 797.78 points or 1.68% to settle at 48,227.60.

Bulls return to PSX after IMF greenlights govts circular debt plan

Arif Habib Limited’s Head of Research Tahir Abbas stated that for the last two days, bears were dominating the market as there was “selling pressure”.

Abbas said that the “selling pressure” was there as the investors were busy in profit taking and there was uncertainty with regard to the caretaker prime minister and who will take over from Finance Minister Ishaq Dar in the interim setup.

“Apart from that, there were question marks on circular debt due to which we saw selling in two days. This has reversed today and the market saw positive momentum,” he added.

Another reason for the bulls’ domination of the marker as per the expert was the finalisation of a caretaker setup. “Apart from that there was news that the IMF has given the go-ahead on the circular debt resolution due to which we saw across-the-board positive momentum.”

On the other hand, capital market expert Saad Ali said that the market rejuvenated after yesterday’s correction following the new development related to the energy sector.

“There was news that the IMF has approved the government’s plans to reduce the circular debt balance in the gas chain through the dividends of state-owned E&Ps,” said Ali.

A day earlier, the Cabinet Committee on Energy (CCOE) approved the revised Circular Debt Management Plan (CDMP).

It has been envisaged under the revised the CDMP that the quarterly tariff adjustments and fuel adjustments would be charged from consumers in a timely manner after raising the baseline tariff. There would be no untargeted subsidy for any sector.

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Gold prices in Pakistan approach an all-time high.

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Following a substantial surge the prior day, gold prices in Pakistan are ascending to unprecedented levels with an additional gain on Thursday, coinciding with a rise in global precious metal rates.

The price of 24-karat gold in the local market rose by Rs700 per tola, reaching Rs277,900, as reported by the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA).

Likewise, the cost of 10 grams of 24-karat gold increased by Rs600, currently priced at Rs238,254.

Globally, gold prices exhibited an upward trend, increasing by $7 throughout the day. The APGJSA reports that the international gold price was $2,682 per ounce.

Notwithstanding the increase in gold prices, the silver market exhibited stability, with the price of silver maintained at Rs3,050 per tola.

In the previous month, gold prices in Pakistan reached an unprecedented high of Rs 277,000 a tola, driven by substantial gains in the worldwide market.

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World Bank: Power industry subsidies soar by 400% in just five years.

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Ninety-four percent of domestic customers will benefit from the budgetary subsidy in 2024, according to a World Bank report, which credits the increase in protected consumers with contributing to the weight of subsidies.

In the current fiscal year, the electricity sector subsidy has increased by an astounding Rs. 954 billion, from Rs. 236 billion in the 2020 fiscal year to Rs. 1190 billion.

Notwithstanding changes, the circular debt has averaged Rs. 400 billion yearly over the last four years due to the incapacity to minimize losses and inadequate recovery of electricity payments.

According to the World Bank, the government must solve the fundamental problems in the power industry in order to lower the burden of subsidies and circular debt, as rising electricity prices and inadequate tax collection will only serve to worsen the circular debt crisis.

The rise in Pakistan’s power sector circular debt has raised worries from the World Bank (WB) despite an unprecedented increase in energy pricing.

Within the last six years, the debt has grown by 1241 billion rupees, according to the World Bank’s study. Between 2019 and 2021, the debt climbed by 1128 billion rupees.

The electricity sector’s circular debt has been increasing at an alarming rate, according to a World Bank analysis. Between 2022 and 2024, there was a substantial increase of 113 billion rupees.

Pakistan’s electricity industry has 2393 billion rupees in total circular debt as of 2024.

Restructuring is required to solve the circular debt issue, according to the World Bank.

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Final settlement: Govt to pay five IPPs Rs 72 billion.

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On October 10, Prime Minister (PM) Shehbaz Sharif declared that the agreements with five IPPS would be terminated in the first phase. Sources claim that the government will give Rs 15.5 billion to Rousch Power and Rs 36.5 billion to Hubco.

In a same vein, the federal government would pay Lalpir Power Rs 12.8 billion, Atlas Power Rs 15.5 billion, and Sapphire Power Rs 6 billion.

The sources state that late payment fees are not included in the settlement. With effect from October 1, the agreements with the five IPPs will be considered officially ended.

PM Shehbaz earlier remarked that the termination was carried out with the owners of the IPPs’ mutual permission while presiding over the federal cabinet meeting in Islamabad.

The Prime Minister notified the Cabinet that the only money that will be paid, interest-free, to these IPPs is the outstanding balance.

According to him, the national exchequer will gain over 411 billion rupees from the termination of these contracts, while power customers will save roughly sixty billion rupees.

According to Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, it was the result of the arduous teamwork of the entire government. In this regard, he also acknowledged the contributions and assistance of the associated parties. He specifically mentioned General Asim Munir, the Chief of Army Staff, who showed a personal interest in the situation.

The prime minister characterized the development as the start of a trip that will ultimately lead to the advancement and prosperity of the populace.

PM Shehbaz Sharif also brought up the assistance that the Punjabi and Federal governments gave to power users over the summer.

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