Connect with us

Business

Contraction in LSM output dims prospects of growth this fiscal year

Published

1 year ago

on

  • PBS data shows LSM output drops by 25% in March.
  • Big industries output witnessed highest-ever decline since COVID-19.
  • Steep contraction will increase pace of inflation, put jobs at risk.

ISLAMABAD: A steep contraction in output of large-scale manufacturing (LSM) in March has faded the prospects of achieving a positive growth figure, The News reported Tuesday. 

The delay in the revival of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme has choked the economy consequently the LSM contracted massively; as a result, it can halt economic activities, boost already-high inflation and increase unemployment.

Although the Ministry of Finance has projected a provisional GDP (gross domestic product) growth rate of positive 0.8% in its revised estimates, the latest figures of LSM for March 2023 demonstrate that it remained negative by 25%, compared to the corresponding month of the last year.

The big industries’ output witnessed the highest-ever decline since COVID-19 pandemic. In the first nine months (July-March) of the outgoing fiscal year, the LSM witnessed a contraction of 8.1%.

“Keeping in view the performance of the industrial and agriculture sector, the provisional growth figure may turn into negative up to -1%. Earlier, the efforts were underway for turning the provisional figure into positive ranging from 0 to 0.5%,” sources confirmed to The News.

The National Accounts Committee (NAC) is scheduled to hold its meeting within the ongoing week to calculate the provisional growth figures for the outgoing financial year 2022-23.

Dr Khaqan Najeeb, former finance ministry adviser, said the industrial sector had been unable to secure letters of credit due to the country being in a dollar liquidity crunch. 

The lack of access to imports has hurt industrial production as evident in the fall of LSMI output by 8.11% in the first nine months (July-March) of 2022-23.

“The revival of the IMF programme would have ensured a flow of dollars from multilaterals, bilateral and commercial monies to ease the imports and unclog the economic activity,” he said.

“It is likely that growth would be muted in the outgoing fiscal year with a contraction in the manufacturing and agriculture sector. This would create further unemployment and rise inflation due to shortfall in supplies,” he concluded.

Related Topics:
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Business

Islamic Sukuk Bonds: Government Is Expected To Begin Bond Auction Next Week

Published

3 days ago

on

By

There is now more positive economic news for the people of Pakistan. The government is anticipated to begin the Sukuk Islamic Bond auction next week, after the central bank’s announcement of a large drop in the policy rate.

Continue Reading

Business

SIFC Encourages Green Tourism: Reforming Visas to Increase Investment

Published

3 days ago

on

By

Enhancing investment in the tourism sector, Green Tourism Pakistan’s initiative has received backing from the Special Investment Facilitation Council.

Visa-On-Arrival for 126 countries, Visa-Free Entry for Gulf Cooperation Council nations, and 24-hour expedited visa processing are some of the main features of the Green Tourism Visa Policy.

It is anticipated that these endeavors will draw in about 80 million dollars in foreign direct investment and 8.3 billion rupees in domestic investment.

Green Tourism Private Limited has introduced hunting resorts in Naltar, Hunza, and Skardu, along with four- and five-star city hotels, to improve the tourism experience.

In the first phase of the project, 17 of the 78 areas have seen the start of development activity.

Approved is a central authority for Green Tourism that will supervise the growth of Air Operations.

To promote Religious Tourism, extra precautions have been taken to guarantee the security of visitors from all religions, including Sikhs and Buddhists.

Furthermore, in order to improve the quality of the tourist experience, the green guide quality program has been introduced to supply top-notch tour guides.

There is now a deluxe bus excursion from Islamabad to Peshawar that promotes local culture.

Continue Reading

Business

July 2024 export data from Pakistan shows a significant rise.

Published

3 days ago

on

By

The Strategic Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC) has been instrumental in improving Pakistani products’ access to international markets, as seen by the significant surge in exports from the country at the start of the 2024–25 fiscal year.

With a 7.26% rise over the same month the previous year, July 2024 exports to the US were $476.017 million. After increasing by 7.74% annually, the United Arab Emirates emerged as the second-largest export destination.

The third and fourth places were occupied by exports to the UK ($183.303 million) and China ($60.100 million). A substantial increase in exports to Afghanistan was recorded in July of this year, rising from $46.262 million to $88.065 million, largely due to successful anti-smuggling efforts.

With a combined export volume of $553.951 million, more important export destinations included Germany, the Netherlands, Italy, Spain, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey.

A bright future for the national economy is suggested by the growing confidence major international markets have in Pakistani exports. Through the efforts of SIFC and the government, this greater access to global markets has been made possible.

Pakistan’s economy is predicted to remain stable as a result of the export growth that SIFC has enabled.

Continue Reading

Trending