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Debt servicing up by 74% in first five months of FY24

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  • Revenue surplus generated by the provinces declines as well.
  • Increasing markup payments a challenge for govt.
  • SBP’s Monetary Policy Committee is scheduled to meet next week.

ISLAMABAD: Amid high policy rates, Pakistan’s debt servicing in the shape of mark-up on principal and outstanding loans increased by 74% in the first five months (July-November) of the ongoing fiscal year compared to the same period of last fiscal year, reported The News on Thursday.

Furthermore, another challenge that has emerged on the fiscal front is the decline in the revenue surplus generated by the provinces. The revenue stood at Rs107.9 billion in the first five months of the current fiscal year against Rs 202.5 billion generated in the same period of the last financial year.

The main challenge confronting the government is the increasing markup payments in response to high policy rates that have led to an increase in the current expenditures significantly. However, the government is putting all efforts into controlling the non-mark-up spending which is evidenced by the rise in primary surplus during Jul-Nov FY24.

The SBP’s Monetary Policy Committee is scheduled to meet next week and if it increases the interest rate then debt servicing will eat more revenues in the months ahead and create difficulties for the Ministry of Finance.

During Jul-Nov FY2024, total expenditures grew by 43% to Rs4,831.0bn against Rs3,367.4bn last year. The current spending grew by 46% mainly due to a significant rise in markup payments that increased by 74 % during the first five months of the current fiscal year, while non-markup spending witnessed just a growth of 20% on account of the government’s curtailed spending.

The overall fiscal deficit stood at 1.3% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) equivalent to Rs1,375.4 billion in the July-Nov period of CFY2024 against Rs1,168.6 billion (1.4% of GDP) for the same period of the last financial year. However, the overall primary balance remained surplus to the tune of Rs1,542.1 billion in the first five months of the current fiscal year against Rs511 billion in the same period of the last financial year. 

The government had agreed with the IMF to restrict the primary surplus at Rs397.2 billion or 0.4% of the GDP for the current fiscal year.

The fiscal deficit was slashed to 1.3% of the GDP (Rs1,375.4bn) in Jul-Nov FY2024 from 1.4% of the GDP (Rs1,168.6bn) last year. The overall fiscal deficit for FY2024 is budgeted at 6.5% of the GDP. The primary surplus improved owing to contained growth in non-markup spending. It posted a surplus of Rs1,542.1bn (1.5 % of GDP) during Jul-Nov FY2024 against the surplus of Rs511.0 billion (0.6 % of GDP) last year. During Jul-Nov FY2024, net revenue receipts have improved by 68 % to reach Rs3,347.7bn against Rs1,996.5bn last year. This performance is largely attributed to a sharp rise in non-tax collection by 114% (Rs1,757.2bn against Rs822.4bn last year) and tax collection by 30% (Rs3,484.7bn against Rs2,688.4bn last year).

The FBR tax collection increased by 30.3% to Rs4,469bn during Jul-Dec FY2024 against Rs3,429bn last year. During the period, the FBR collected more than the assigned target of Rs4,425bn, thus exceeding Rs44bn. The revenue performance indicates that tax policy and administrative measures are paying off in terms of continuous improvement in revenue collection.

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The total amount of Pakistan’s liquid foreign reserves is $15.95 billion.

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As of February 14, Pakistan’s total liquid foreign reserves were $15,947.9 million, with the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) holdings being $11,201.5 million.

Official figures for the week ending February 14, 2025, show that the central bank’s liquid foreign exchange reserves rose by $35 million to $11,201.5 million.

Commercial banks maintained net foreign reserves of $4,746.4 million during the period under review, according to the breakdown of foreign reserves.

The nation’s total liquid foreign reserves as of the week ending February 07, 2025, were $15,862.6 million.

Of these, the central bank held $11,166.6 million in foreign reserves, while commercial banks kept $4,696 million in net reserves.

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In January 2025, RDA inflows reach 9.564 billion USD.

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Remittances under the Roshan Digital Account (RDA) increased from US $9.342 billion at the end of 2024 to US $9.564 billion by the end of January 2025.

The most recent data issued by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) revealed that remittance inflows in January totaled US$222 million, compared to US$203 million in December and US$186 million in November 2024.

Millions of Non-Resident Pakistanis (NRPs), including those who own a Non-Resident Pakistan Origin Card (POC), desire to engage in banking, payment, and investing activities in Pakistan using these accounts, which offer cutting-edge banking options.

Nearly 778,697 accounts were registered under the scheme by the end of January 2025, according to the data.

By the end of January, foreign-born Pakistanis had contributed US $59 million to Roshan Equity Investment, US $479 million to Naya Pakistan Certificates, and US $799 to Naya Pakistan Islamic Certificates.

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FBR lowers Karachi’s built-up structure property valuation rates

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A year-by-year breakdown of the depreciation value of residential and commercial built-up properties is included in the updated property valuation rates for Karachi that the FBR has announced.

The notification said that built-up structural values on residential property will be gradually reduced.

A residential home’s built-up structure, which is five to ten years old, will lose five percent of its worth.

In a similar vein, constructions between the ages of 10 and 15 will lose 7.5% of their value, while those between the ages of 15 and 25 would lose 10%. Built-up structures that are more than 25 years old will be valued similarly to an open plot.

Furthermore, age will also be used to lower the valuation of built-up properties, such as apartments and flats.

Structures that are five to ten years old will depreciate by ten percent, while those that are ten to twenty years old will depreciate by twenty percent. A 30% depreciation will be applied to properties that are 20 to 30 years old, while a 50% reduction will be applied to those that are above 30 years old.

In terms of commercial built-up properties, buildings that are 10 to 15 years old will lose 5% of their value, while those that are 15 to 25 years old will lose 8%. The value of properties that are more than 25 years old will drop by 10%.

In contrast, there would be a 15% boost in the value of commercial properties in the Defence Housing Authority (DHA) that face any Khayaban.

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