Gold price in Pakistan soared to an all-time high at Rs214,500 per tola (11.66 grams) on Tuesday after the rupee fell to a historic low against the US dollar in the interbank trade.
The surge was in line with the rupee movement — which plunged to an all-time low of Rs287.29 against the US dollar in the interbank market — and an uptrend in the global markets.
According to the data released by All-Pakistan Sarafa Gems and Jewellers Association (APSGJA), the price of gold (24 carats) soared by Rs5,000 per tola and Rs4,288 per 10 grams to settle at Rs214,500 and Rs183,900.
Gold is often hailed as a hedge against inflation—increasing in value as the purchasing power of the dollar declines.
Pakistan’s monthly inflation blew past forecasts in March and soared to a nearly all-time high level — 35.4% — from a year earlier, with people feeling more pain from some of the fastest rising consumer prices amid straining budgets as cost of living continues to outstrip average incomes.
Cumulatively, the precious commodity gained Rs5,200 per tola during the two sessions (Monday-Tuesday).
Investors’ attention shifted towards the precious commodity during the week as the economic tensions continue to rise amid the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reviewing external financing commitments from friendly countries before it releases bailout funds.
The delay in the revival of the programme negatively impacted the currency market which in turn is bolstering demand for gold.
Gold price moves in line with the rupee-dollar parity as the country meets almost all its gold demand through imports, and traders follow its international price in setting rates in the country.
Jewellers import the metal against the US dollar and UAE dirham before converting its price into rupees.
Moreover, a hike in seasonal demand added fuel to the rising prices in the local bullion market.
The association also mentioned that the price of gold is Rs7,000 per tola “undercost” in Pakistan, as compared to the Dubai market, showing that the Pakistani gold market was currently cheaper than the global.
Meanwhile, silver prices in the domestic market jumped to an all-time high of Rs2,450 per tola and Rs2,100.48 per 10 grams after an increase Rs100 per tola and Rs85.74 per 10 grams, respectively.
In the international market, gold price gained $12 per ounce to settle at $1,982.
Over the next three years, local and foreign companies involved in Pakistan’s oil and gas exploration and production sector have shown a strong desire to invest more than $5 billion in the nation’s energy sector.
Recent changes to the Petroleum Policy and the implementation of an exclusive tight gas policy, which provide better incentives and a more investor-friendly regulatory framework, are credited with the increase in investor confidence.
These strategic changes are expected to boost domestic energy production, open up new avenues for growth, and draw large amounts of both domestic and foreign investment.
Businesspeople anticipate another reduction in the policy rate when the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) releases the updated rate.
The interest rate for the upcoming two months will be announced by the central bank. It is still unclear if the rate will stay the same or be lowered to reflect stakeholder expectations.
According to experts, the policy rate will be lowered in order to further boost the nation’s economic sector.
Interest rates may be lowered for the seventh time in a row if the inflation rate declines significantly more than anticipated.
In its last six sessions, the MPC had cut the policy rate by 10 percent. In January 2025, it decreased the rate by one percent to 12pc.
12PC POLICY RATE
In January, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announced cut in key policy rate by 100 basis points (bps) to 12 percent from 13pc in line with expectations of the business community.
The policy rate, which had been at 22 percent since June 2024, was slashed by 1,000 basis points to 12 percent.
The SBP governor said the decision was taken with careful consideration. “Although inflation is expected to decline next month (February), core inflation remains a pressing concern,” he stated.
Ahmed highlighted strong remittance inflows and robust export growth as key factors supporting the current account.