Rate of gold (24 carats) increases by Rs1,400 per tola.
Gold’s rate also sees a rise in the international market.
Silver rate also surges to an all-time high.
Gold prices jumped to another all-time high in Pakistan as the economic prospects remain gloomy amid a stalled International Monetary Fund (IMF) bailout programme.
According to data provided by the All Pakistan Sarafa Gems and Jewellers Association (APSGJA), the rate of gold (24 carats) increased by Rs1,400 per tola and Rs1,200 per 10 grams to reach Rs226,900 and Rs194,530, respectively.
The rise in the gold price also came as the precious metal’s value increased in the international market by $5 to settle at $2,022 per ounce.
Gold prices ticked up as the dollar eased and economic risks prevailed, while investors prepared for US inflation data to gauge the Federal Reserve’s policy path.
The bullion rate has been on a steady uptrend in Pakistan, as economic fundamentals weakened, the rupee depreciated and inflation soared to record highs. During such times, people prefer to buy the yellow metal to protect themselves against inflation and currency depreciation.
There has been no relief for the masses as the weekly inflation hit an all-time high of 48.35% year-on-year (YoY) with prices of chicken and wheat flour increasing during the seven-day period ending May 4.
Meanwhile, it seems that Pakistan may not get the crucial tranche from the IMF anytime soon, as the country’s loan programme is not on the agenda of the lender’s Executive Board till May 17.
Pakistan and the IMF have been discussing fiscal policy measures in the review since February, aiming to resume stalled funding of $1.1 billion due in November from a $6.5-billion programme agreed in 2019.
The delay in the revival of the IMF programme negatively impacts the currency market which, in turn, bolsters the demand for gold.
Data shared by the association also showed that the price of silver hit record highs after they increased by Rs30 per tola and Rs25.72 per 10 grams to settle at Rs2,900 and Rs2,486.28, respectively.
Over the next three years, local and foreign companies involved in Pakistan’s oil and gas exploration and production sector have shown a strong desire to invest more than $5 billion in the nation’s energy sector.
Recent changes to the Petroleum Policy and the implementation of an exclusive tight gas policy, which provide better incentives and a more investor-friendly regulatory framework, are credited with the increase in investor confidence.
These strategic changes are expected to boost domestic energy production, open up new avenues for growth, and draw large amounts of both domestic and foreign investment.
Businesspeople anticipate another reduction in the policy rate when the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) releases the updated rate.
The interest rate for the upcoming two months will be announced by the central bank. It is still unclear if the rate will stay the same or be lowered to reflect stakeholder expectations.
According to experts, the policy rate will be lowered in order to further boost the nation’s economic sector.
Interest rates may be lowered for the seventh time in a row if the inflation rate declines significantly more than anticipated.
In its last six sessions, the MPC had cut the policy rate by 10 percent. In January 2025, it decreased the rate by one percent to 12pc.
12PC POLICY RATE
In January, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announced cut in key policy rate by 100 basis points (bps) to 12 percent from 13pc in line with expectations of the business community.
The policy rate, which had been at 22 percent since June 2024, was slashed by 1,000 basis points to 12 percent.
The SBP governor said the decision was taken with careful consideration. “Although inflation is expected to decline next month (February), core inflation remains a pressing concern,” he stated.
Ahmed highlighted strong remittance inflows and robust export growth as key factors supporting the current account.