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Govt plans to launch $2bn bonds in upcoming budget

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  • Govt plans to generate over $22bn through foreign loans in budget.
  • It failed to launch bonds in outgoing year because of poor credit rating.
  • It plans to increase salaries and pensions of govt employees.

ISLAMABAD: The government plans to generate $2 billion through the launching of Eurobonds in the upcoming budget for 2023-24. 

The budget makers are finding numbers crunching hard for the upcoming budget on account of dollar inflows through foreign loans at a time when the International Monetary Fund (IMF) programme has not been revived.

However, the government plans to generate over $22 billion through foreign loans in the upcoming budget, and numbers crunching is still underway with expectations that Islamabad will be able to generate $2 billion through the launching of Eurobonds in the next fiscal. 

The government had planned to launch international bonds in the outgoing fiscal year as well but failed to do so mainly because of the non-revival of the IMF programme, poor credit rating and increased bond rates and risks.

The government has also proposed an income levy on all kinds of assets and increasing withholding taxes on cash withdrawals and registration of motor vehicles in the upcoming budget for 2023-24. 

The government also plans to increase salaries and pensions of government employees from grade 1 to 16 and also for employees from 17 to 22 in the range of 30% and 20%, respectively. 

The pension bill would be more than the salary bill of the federal government. The total budget outlay has been envisaged over Rs14.2 trillion for the upcoming budget whereby the Federal Board of Revenue’s (FBR) tax collection is fixed at Rs9.2 to Rs9.5 trillion and the non-tax revenue target at Rs2.5 trillion. 

In order to achieve a primary balance of 0.1% of GDP, the provinces are expected to generate a 1% revenue surplus in order to achieve the primary balance into a slightly positive range in the next budget. The debt servicing is going to consume a major chunk of Rs7.5 trillion in the next budget.

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Gold prices in Pakistan approach an all-time high.

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Following a substantial surge the prior day, gold prices in Pakistan are ascending to unprecedented levels with an additional gain on Thursday, coinciding with a rise in global precious metal rates.

The price of 24-karat gold in the local market rose by Rs700 per tola, reaching Rs277,900, as reported by the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA).

Likewise, the cost of 10 grams of 24-karat gold increased by Rs600, currently priced at Rs238,254.

Globally, gold prices exhibited an upward trend, increasing by $7 throughout the day. The APGJSA reports that the international gold price was $2,682 per ounce.

Notwithstanding the increase in gold prices, the silver market exhibited stability, with the price of silver maintained at Rs3,050 per tola.

In the previous month, gold prices in Pakistan reached an unprecedented high of Rs 277,000 a tola, driven by substantial gains in the worldwide market.

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World Bank: Power industry subsidies soar by 400% in just five years.

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Ninety-four percent of domestic customers will benefit from the budgetary subsidy in 2024, according to a World Bank report, which credits the increase in protected consumers with contributing to the weight of subsidies.

In the current fiscal year, the electricity sector subsidy has increased by an astounding Rs. 954 billion, from Rs. 236 billion in the 2020 fiscal year to Rs. 1190 billion.

Notwithstanding changes, the circular debt has averaged Rs. 400 billion yearly over the last four years due to the incapacity to minimize losses and inadequate recovery of electricity payments.

According to the World Bank, the government must solve the fundamental problems in the power industry in order to lower the burden of subsidies and circular debt, as rising electricity prices and inadequate tax collection will only serve to worsen the circular debt crisis.

The rise in Pakistan’s power sector circular debt has raised worries from the World Bank (WB) despite an unprecedented increase in energy pricing.

Within the last six years, the debt has grown by 1241 billion rupees, according to the World Bank’s study. Between 2019 and 2021, the debt climbed by 1128 billion rupees.

The electricity sector’s circular debt has been increasing at an alarming rate, according to a World Bank analysis. Between 2022 and 2024, there was a substantial increase of 113 billion rupees.

Pakistan’s electricity industry has 2393 billion rupees in total circular debt as of 2024.

Restructuring is required to solve the circular debt issue, according to the World Bank.

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Final settlement: Govt to pay five IPPs Rs 72 billion.

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On October 10, Prime Minister (PM) Shehbaz Sharif declared that the agreements with five IPPS would be terminated in the first phase. Sources claim that the government will give Rs 15.5 billion to Rousch Power and Rs 36.5 billion to Hubco.

In a same vein, the federal government would pay Lalpir Power Rs 12.8 billion, Atlas Power Rs 15.5 billion, and Sapphire Power Rs 6 billion.

The sources state that late payment fees are not included in the settlement. With effect from October 1, the agreements with the five IPPs will be considered officially ended.

PM Shehbaz earlier remarked that the termination was carried out with the owners of the IPPs’ mutual permission while presiding over the federal cabinet meeting in Islamabad.

The Prime Minister notified the Cabinet that the only money that will be paid, interest-free, to these IPPs is the outstanding balance.

According to him, the national exchequer will gain over 411 billion rupees from the termination of these contracts, while power customers will save roughly sixty billion rupees.

According to Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, it was the result of the arduous teamwork of the entire government. In this regard, he also acknowledged the contributions and assistance of the associated parties. He specifically mentioned General Asim Munir, the Chief of Army Staff, who showed a personal interest in the situation.

The prime minister characterized the development as the start of a trip that will ultimately lead to the advancement and prosperity of the populace.

PM Shehbaz Sharif also brought up the assistance that the Punjabi and Federal governments gave to power users over the summer.

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