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Mangoes exporters fear 20% decline in production due to climate change

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  • Export of mangoes is scheduled to commence on May 20. 
  • Prolonged winter, delayed summer has decreased mango production.
  • This season’s mangoes export target is set at 125,000 metric tonnes.

KARACHI: Owing to the adverse affects of climate change, fruit and vegetable exporters anticipate a 20% decline in this year’s mango crop, The News reported Friday. 

While the agrarian economy has an annual capacity of approximately 1.8 million metric tonnes, it is feared that the production for the current season will be limited to 1.44 million metric tonnes due to the impact of climate change.

All Pakistan Fruit and Vegetable Exporters Association (PFVA) Patron-in-Chief Waheed Ahmed said an extended winter and delayed arrival of summer had contributed to a decline in mango production, as well as a diminished ability to combat diseases in mango orchards.

“Mango crop in Pakistan is facing the adverse effect of climate change during the current mango season, leading to a likely drop of 20% in production,” Ahmed said.

Ahmed warned that due to a prolonged winter and delayed summer season, mango production was decreasing, adding that the production of the fruit was directly affected by changing weather patterns. 

He urged research institutes and provincial agriculture departments to provide resources and awareness to mango farmers to help them avert the negative impact of climate change.

This year’s export target for mangoes has been set at 125,000 metric tonnes. Achieving the target would earn Pakistan approximately $100 million in foreign exchange. 

The export of mangoes is scheduled to commence on May 20. 

Major buyers of Pakistani mangoes include Gulf countries, Iran, Central Asian countries, and the United Kingdom.

Additional important markets encompass Europe, Canada, the United States, and Japan. The reduction in mango production, coupled with quality issues arising from climatic effects, has resulted in increased costs for exports.

“Factors such as higher freight expenses, packaging and transport costs, as well as the ongoing deteriorating law and order situation, political instability, and disruptions in delivery, are posing significant challenges to mango exports,” cautioned Ahmed. 

Within Pakistan, Punjab accounts for 70% of mango production, while Sindh contributes 29%, and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa holds 1% share.

Regarding export methods, Ahmed revealed that 50% of Pakistani mangoes are exported by sea, 35% by land, and 15% by air.

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It is anticipated that 150 ships would arrive at Gwadar by the year 2045, allowing the port to handle fifty percent of all imports.

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In an effort to strengthen the port’s economic importance, the Federal Government has made the decision to direct fifty percent of all imports from the public sector to Gwadar Port.

By taking this action, which has the backing of the Special Investment Facilitation Council, the port’s financial situation is going to be improved.

The Cabinet will be presented with a summary of imports through Gwadar by the Ministry of Maritime Affairs, which will take place after Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s recent trip to China.

When the next Cabinet Meeting takes place, Ahsan Iqbal, the Federal Minister for Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives, will examine the Chinese offer for the Karachi to Hyderabad Section of the ML-1 Project and bring it to the Cabinet.

Company preparations for the Shanghai International Import Expo, which will take place in November 2024, are being made by the Board of Investment and the Ministry of Commerce of Pakistan.

One of the most important aspects of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor is the Gwadar port, which serves as a significant commerce route connecting China, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. At this time, the Gwadar Port is able to accommodate two huge ships, and by the year 2045, it is anticipated that it would be able to handle up to 150 ships.

By developing the Gwadar Port, regional connectivity would be improved, employment will be created, and international investment will be attracted.

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The price of gold in Pakistan has experienced a significant surge.

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Gold prices in Pakistan surged significantly on Thursday following two consecutive days of decline, with the price per tola rising by Rs2,000 to reach Rs262,100. This increase was in accordance with the downward trend in international market values.

The All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA) reported that the price of 10 grams of 24-karat gold rose by Rs1,714, reaching Rs224,708.

Conversely, the world gold market experienced an upward trajectory. According to the APGJSA, the global price of gold surged to $2,503 per ounce following a $22 gain during the trading session.

The local market experienced a significant decline in silver prices, decreasing from Rs50 to Rs2,900 per tola after a prolonged period.

The local market’s gold prices remain subject to the ever-changing dynamics of the international market, as well as domestic considerations such as currency exchange rates and domestic demand.

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The government has not met the deadline set by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for the approval of a $7 billion loan.

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On Tuesday night, there were virtual talks between representatives of the Finance Ministry and the IMF delegation, with the main topics being external finance and income generation.

According to people familiar with the situation, no date has been set for the IMF’s Executive Board to approve the loan despite the ongoing negotiations.

Officials from the Finance Ministry informed the IMF mission about the government’s initiatives to get outside funding during the discussions. Updates on loan rollovers and fresh finance commitments from allies were included in this. According to sources, the IMF has received a schedule, and loan rollovers are expected to be finished by the end of next week.

The $12 billion in debt must be rolled over before the loan can be approved by the Executive Board, according to the IMF mission.

In the virtual discussions, representatives of the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) conversed with the IMF team over the revenue deficit. The FBR must reach its revenue goals for this month, according to the IMF mission. As a result, the IMF has asked the FBR to submit a thorough strategy outlining how it will close the gap left by the shortfall and guarantee that revenue goals are reached.

Apart from the conversations on outside funding, there are rumors that the Finance Ministry is actively holding talks with commercial banks in order to obtain new funding. According to reports, negotiations are taking place with four distinct sources for commercial loans, which are anticipated to support the government’s overall financial plan.

Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb disclosed on Tuesday that the IMF was in favor of introducing targeted subsidies. He said that qualifying recipients might receive these subsidies through the Benazir Income Support Programme (BISP).

In order to guarantee consistency, the minister announced that this week’s talks with chief ministers will focus on implementing a similar policy across the country. He was having a casual conversation in parliament with the journalists.

In response to queries about outside funding, Aurangzeb revealed a $2 billion deficit and said that talks to close this gap are progressing. He stressed how crucial it is to obtain business loans.

He went on, “At this point, there’s a need to secure an agreement for commercial loans, not exactly their issuance,” emphasizing that debt rollover negotiations are nearing their conclusion and doing well. The minister expected that these developments would shortly be reported to the governments of allied countries by relevant authorities.

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