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Pakistan plans to quadruple domestic coal-fired power, move away from gas

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  • Energy minister says LNG is no longer part of long-term plan.
  • Country plans increasing domestic coal-fired power capacity to 10GW in medium-term. 
  • Pakistan’s annual LNG imports fell to lowest levels in five years.

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan plans to quadruple its domestic coal-fired capacity to reduce power generation costs and will not build new gas-fired plants in the coming years, its energy minister told Reuters on Monday, as it seeks to ease a crippling foreign-exchange crisis.

A shortage of natural gas, which accounts for over a third of the country’s power output, plunged large areas into hours of darkness last year. A surge in global prices of liquefied natural gas (LNG) after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and an onerous economic crisis had made LNG unaffordable for Pakistan.

“LNG is no longer part of the long-term plan,” Pakistan Energy Minister Khurram Dastgir Khan told Reuters, adding that the country plans to increase domestic coal-fired power capacity to 10 gigawatts (GW) in the medium-term, from 2.31 GW currently.

Pakistan’s plan to switch to coal to provide its citizens reliable electricity underscores challenges in drafting effective decarbonisation strategies, at a time when some developing countries are struggling to keep lights on.

Despite power demand increasing in 2022, Pakistan’s annual LNG imports fell to the lowest levels in five years as European buyers elbowed out price-sensitive consumers.

“We have some of the world’s most efficient regasified LNG-based power plants. But we don’t have the gas to run them,” Dastgir said in an interview.

The South Asian nation, which is battling a wrenching economic crisis and is in dire need of funds, is seeking to reduce the value of its fuel imports and protect itself from geopolitical shocks, he said.

Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves held by the central bank have fallen to $2.9 billion, barely enough to cover three weeks of imports.

“It’s this question of not just being able to generate energy cheaply, but also with domestic sources, that is very important,” Dastgir said.

The Shanghai Electric Thar plant, a 1.32 GW capacity plant that runs on domestic coal and is funded under the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), started producing power last week. The CPEC is a part of Beijing’s global Belt and Road Initiative.

In addition to the coal-fired plants, Pakistan also plans to boost its solar, hydro and nuclear power fleet, Dastgir said, without elaborating.

If the proposed plants are constructed, it could also widen the gap between Pakistan’s power demand and installed power generation capacity, potentially forcing the country to idle plants.

The maximum power demand met by Pakistan during the year ended June 2022 was 28.25 GW, more than 35% lower than power generation capacity of 43.77 GW.

It was not immediately clear how Pakistan will finance the proposed coal fleet, but Dastgir said setting up new plants will depend on “investor interest,” which he expects to increase when newly commissioned coal-fired plants are proved viable.

Financial institutions in China and Japan, which are among the biggest financiers of coal units in developing countries, have been backing out of funding fossil-fuel projects in recent years amid pressure from activists and Western governments.

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Petrol prices are expected to experience another increase in Pakistan.

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The inflation-affected nation is expected to encounter another increase in petrol prices, with recommendations indicating a rise of Rs. 2.58 per litre for petrol and Rs. 5.91 per litre for high-speed diesel.

Sources indicate that, if sanctioned, petrol prices will ascend to Rs. 250.96 per litre, whereas high-speed diesel will be priced at Rs. 261.05 per litre.

Sources indicated that the suggested increase is due to the elevated premium on petroleum products in the worldwide market and rising import expenses.

The premium on imported petroleum products has increased, leading the government to contemplate pricing modifications effective November 16, sources indicated.

On October 31, the federal government published the prices of petroleum products for the upcoming fortnight, increasing the prices of petrol and high-speed diesel.

A notification announced an increase in petrol price by Rs 1.35, raising it to Rs 248.38 a litre. The price of high-speed diesel was fixed at Rs 255.14 per litre after an increase of Rs 3.85.

Also read: Pakistan’s weekly inflation jumps to 15.02pc

Simultaneously, the costs of light diesel and kerosene oil were reduced. The statement states that kerosene oil is priced at Rs 148.5 per litre following a reduction of Rs 4.92.

The cost of light fuel was reduced by Rs 2.61 to Rs 147.51 per litre.

The rampant hike in the prices came at the time when the weekly inflation, measured by the Sensitive Price Indicator (SPI), witnessed an increase of 0.28 percent for the combined consumption groups during the week ended on October 17, the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) reported.

According to the PBS data, the SPI for the week under review in the above-mentioned group was recorded at 319.79 points as compared to 318.91 points during the past week.

In comparison to the same week last year, the SPI for the combined consumption group during the reviewed week experienced a 15.02 percent increase.

The weekly SPI with the base year 2015-16 =100 covers 17 urban centres and 51 essential items for all expenditure groups.

Likewise, SPI for the lowest consumption group of up to Rs 17,732 witnessed increase of 0.27 percent and went up to 313.74 points from last week’s 312.91 points.

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PIA Privatization Is Referred to the Cabinet Committee by the Privatization Commission Board Meeting

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The privatization of Pakistan International Airlines has been referred to a cabinet committee by the Privatization Commission Board.

Aleem Khan, the Federal Minister for Privatization and Communications, presided over the board meeting, which examined and accepted proposals on a number of topics, including the privatization of Pia.

The government would move forward with privatization in line with the law and in Pakistan’s best interests, Federal Minister Aleem Khan reaffirmed.

He added that the entire privatization process for the PITA and other state agencies would be expedited and simplified.

Following prequalification, the Privatization Commission is unable to remove any department or institution from Privatization, as was decided during the meeting.

Additionally, the Federal Minister directed that the pre-qualifying conditions and privatization be made more profitable.

Members of the Privatization Commission will be included in the Privatization Process through a three-member committee.

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Gas production from the Dera Bugti well commences at 5 MMSCFD.

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Dera Bugti, Balochistan is home to a freshly drilled well that the Oil and Gas Development Company Limited (OGDCL) has started producing gas from.

The natural gas output of Pakistan has been significantly boosted by this breakthrough.

A letter sent by OGDCL to the Pakistan Stock Exchange states that the well is generating five million standard cubic feet of gas each day, which is quite an astounding amount.

The Uch Gas Processing Plant has been effectively connected with the gas output, which will help distribute and streamline the increased gas supply. The Dera Bugti well is fully owned by OGDCL, the biggest exploration and production company in the country, as stated in its letter to the PSX.

In response to a decline in power demand, Pakistan opted to divert its imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to local users on November 12th.

This article also discusses Pakistan’s decision to use imported LNG for domestic use.

The Ministry of Petroleum has estimated that an amount of Rs163 billion will be necessary to fund the supply of LNG to households in the country. According to sources, the pressure on pipelines is continuously increasing due to the imported LNG.

Confirmation from reliable sources indicates that 600 MMcfd of LNG has been consumed by the power industry. Since captive power facilities are being shut down, there will be an excess of 150MMcfd of LNG, and the gas industry is also making 400 billion rupees from captive electricity.

To solve the problem of circular debt, the government intends to raise gas pricing and do away with the tariff differential between domestic gas and LNG imports.

There is a current tariff of Rs1,550 per MMcfd on domestic gas and Rs3,500 per MMcfd on imported LNG. The government hopes to earn Rs200 billion by removing this tariff difference. As a part of the larger strategy to raise government revenue, the tariff for fertiliser firms will also be hiked.

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