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Rise in UK job vacancies for five months in a row likely to fan inflation

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A rise in job vacancies in the United Kingdom was seen for the fifth month in a row, which is likely to fan inflation as it signalled wage growth and stress in the labour market, Bloomberg reported citing a report by an employment website. 

The data given in the report by Adzuna released on Monday is based on every job advertisement in the Kingdom across 1,000 sources.

As many as 1.06 million vacancies across UK were listed on the job search site Adzuna in the month of June, which was 0.78% more than the previous month but lower than the same month in 2022.

As per the data, the advertised salaries witnessed a 3.6% rise as compared to the last year, while the number of days to fill the job openings dropped to a record low.

This showed that employers are still having a hard time hiring the required staff. A likelihood of biding up the wages was also observed which will consequently add to the risks of an inflationary spiral.

As per the report, the Bank of England (BOE) is closely monitoring UK’s job market to have an estimate of how much it further needs to jack up the interest rates to evade a wage-price spiral.

“Despite the recent small rises in unemployment, the labor market is still incredibly tight,” Institute of Employment Studies official Tony Wilson said in the Adzuna report.

A recent report stated that UK saw a 4% hike in national unemployment.

“This poses risks for future inflation. It’s also a reminder that the economy is still creating a lot of opportunities and many of them well paid,” Wilson added.

The numbers from Adzuna stand in stark contrast to those from Reed Recruitment, which revealed that in the three months leading up to May, vacancies in England decreased by roughly a third from their post-pandemic high.

Earlier this month, Chairman James Reed stated that chances of the UK entering a recession have increased due to a “significant” fall in listings over the previous year.

However, Adzuna co-founder seemed optimistic about the outlook for the economy.

“If hiring trends continue to improve, we could be back at the record hiring levels we saw in 2022 by the end of the year.” Hunter said in a statement. “Competition is high amongst employers looking to snap up the best candidates.”

Over the same time period, wage growth surged to 7.3% from a year earlier, beyond the level of comfort, BOE claims is consistent with its 2% inflation target.

London remained the only part of the country without a bump in pay. The biggest annual salary increase was recorded in property, a sector which saw a decline in vacancies year on year.

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It is anticipated that 150 ships would arrive at Gwadar by the year 2045, allowing the port to handle fifty percent of all imports.

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In an effort to strengthen the port’s economic importance, the Federal Government has made the decision to direct fifty percent of all imports from the public sector to Gwadar Port.

By taking this action, which has the backing of the Special Investment Facilitation Council, the port’s financial situation is going to be improved.

The Cabinet will be presented with a summary of imports through Gwadar by the Ministry of Maritime Affairs, which will take place after Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s recent trip to China.

When the next Cabinet Meeting takes place, Ahsan Iqbal, the Federal Minister for Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives, will examine the Chinese offer for the Karachi to Hyderabad Section of the ML-1 Project and bring it to the Cabinet.

Company preparations for the Shanghai International Import Expo, which will take place in November 2024, are being made by the Board of Investment and the Ministry of Commerce of Pakistan.

One of the most important aspects of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor is the Gwadar port, which serves as a significant commerce route connecting China, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. At this time, the Gwadar Port is able to accommodate two huge ships, and by the year 2045, it is anticipated that it would be able to handle up to 150 ships.

By developing the Gwadar Port, regional connectivity would be improved, employment will be created, and international investment will be attracted.

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The price of gold in Pakistan has experienced a significant surge.

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Gold prices in Pakistan surged significantly on Thursday following two consecutive days of decline, with the price per tola rising by Rs2,000 to reach Rs262,100. This increase was in accordance with the downward trend in international market values.

The All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA) reported that the price of 10 grams of 24-karat gold rose by Rs1,714, reaching Rs224,708.

Conversely, the world gold market experienced an upward trajectory. According to the APGJSA, the global price of gold surged to $2,503 per ounce following a $22 gain during the trading session.

The local market experienced a significant decline in silver prices, decreasing from Rs50 to Rs2,900 per tola after a prolonged period.

The local market’s gold prices remain subject to the ever-changing dynamics of the international market, as well as domestic considerations such as currency exchange rates and domestic demand.

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The government has not met the deadline set by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for the approval of a $7 billion loan.

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On Tuesday night, there were virtual talks between representatives of the Finance Ministry and the IMF delegation, with the main topics being external finance and income generation.

According to people familiar with the situation, no date has been set for the IMF’s Executive Board to approve the loan despite the ongoing negotiations.

Officials from the Finance Ministry informed the IMF mission about the government’s initiatives to get outside funding during the discussions. Updates on loan rollovers and fresh finance commitments from allies were included in this. According to sources, the IMF has received a schedule, and loan rollovers are expected to be finished by the end of next week.

The $12 billion in debt must be rolled over before the loan can be approved by the Executive Board, according to the IMF mission.

In the virtual discussions, representatives of the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) conversed with the IMF team over the revenue deficit. The FBR must reach its revenue goals for this month, according to the IMF mission. As a result, the IMF has asked the FBR to submit a thorough strategy outlining how it will close the gap left by the shortfall and guarantee that revenue goals are reached.

Apart from the conversations on outside funding, there are rumors that the Finance Ministry is actively holding talks with commercial banks in order to obtain new funding. According to reports, negotiations are taking place with four distinct sources for commercial loans, which are anticipated to support the government’s overall financial plan.

Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb disclosed on Tuesday that the IMF was in favor of introducing targeted subsidies. He said that qualifying recipients might receive these subsidies through the Benazir Income Support Programme (BISP).

In order to guarantee consistency, the minister announced that this week’s talks with chief ministers will focus on implementing a similar policy across the country. He was having a casual conversation in parliament with the journalists.

In response to queries about outside funding, Aurangzeb revealed a $2 billion deficit and said that talks to close this gap are progressing. He stressed how crucial it is to obtain business loans.

He went on, “At this point, there’s a need to secure an agreement for commercial loans, not exactly their issuance,” emphasizing that debt rollover negotiations are nearing their conclusion and doing well. The minister expected that these developments would shortly be reported to the governments of allied countries by relevant authorities.

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