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SBP Governor Jameel predicts that Pakistan’s economy would rise by more than 3% in FY24–25.

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In the current fiscal year, Pakistan’s economic growth is expected to reach 3%, and forecasts for the upcoming year indicate that it will continue to accelerate, according to State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Governor Jameel Ahmad.

The chairman of the central bank emphasized the significance of steady and progressive growth in order to prevent future balance of payments problems during a press conference on Thursday.

He pointed out that although Pakistan’s economy has grown by an average of 3.5% over the past ten years, the nation occasionally sees notable growth spikes followed by difficulties in the years that follow.

He stated that “the path to stable growth lies in gradual and consistent development,” emphasizing that the SBP will concentrate on controlling inflation and obstacles related to the foreign account.

The governor of the SBP also disclosed the SBP’s inflation target, which is set at 5 to 7 percent for the current fiscal year. Other sectors would profit as well, he said, if economic indicators improve and inflation stays under control.

“We hope that Pakistan’s current account will remain in surplus through December,” he said.

Remittances and the stabilization of foreign debt

Another update from the governor was that Pakistan’s foreign debt is still manageable. Currently, the nation owes $100.8 billion in foreign debt.

Despite the $500 million increase in this amount as a result of debt revaluation, Ahmad guaranteed that the overall debt situation has much improved since 2022.

Remittances have been leveling off and are projected to reach $35 billion by the end of this fiscal year, according to Mr. Jameel, who spoke about foreign exchange inflows. Additionally, exports are improving, but he urged greater efforts to boost export volumes, which are crucial for lowering dependency on remittances.

Prioritize SMEs and export growth.

“Achieving sustainable economic growth will depend on increasing exports and reducing dependency on remittances,” Jameel Ahmad stated.

Additionally, the SBP governor emphasized that foreign exchange reserves are being used efficiently to satisfy the needs of international businesses and investors. Pakistan gave $330 million in dividends and earnings to foreign investors in 2023, and by 2024, that amount had increased to $2.2 billion.

He also emphasized the government’s significant emphasis on growing the Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) sector, which he thinks would be essential to economic growth. SME loans up to Rs 10 million can now be obtained under the new regulations without collateral.

Additionally, the government has increased the loan target for SMEs from Rs 543 billion to Rs 1,100 billion, and banks have been directed to lend an additional Rs 100 billion to SMEs each year.

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Trade ties between Pak-Oman: Both nations decide to activate “Joint Business Council”.

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Jam Kamal Khan, federal minister for commerce, visited Oman Chamber of Commerce and Industry in Muscat alongside chairman Faisal Abdullah Al Rawas.

To enable closer economic collaboration, both sides decided during the meeting to activate joint Business Council between OCCI and the federation of Pakistan Chambers of Commerce and industry.

Concurrent with the conference, the Embassy of Pakistan arranged a b2b networking event in association with OCCI to gather Omani Businessmen and Pakistani Business Delegates investigating trade prospects.

Speaking on the occasion, Jam Kamal Khan said, “Our present trade figures do not fairly represent the depth of our connection. We can quickly raise the current Trade volume to two or three times its present level by just eliminating logistical and communication barriers.

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Despite economic gains, PSX remains strong.

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Amidst the ongoing negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) regarding a loan tranche, the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) has resumed its upward trajectory in recent days.

The KSE-100 Index gained 600 points on Friday, the penultimate working day of the business week, and then increased to 115,730 points as traders showed confidence and engaged in trading.

After experiencing fluctuations, the PSX gained strength on Thursday, as the major index surpassed 115,000 points.

The KSE 100-Index closed at 115,094.23 points after gaining 1,009.70 points, or 0.89 percent. 115,247.39 was the intraday high, and 14,429.93 was the lowest.

According to experts, one important factor is Moody’s Ratings’ upgrade of Pakistani banks. Investor confidence has also increased due to the expectation of a positive conclusion from the negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

In its assessment, Moody’s stated, “We have shifted our outlook on Pakistan’s banking system from stable to positive to reflect the banks’ resilient financial performance as well as improving macroeconomic conditions from very weak levels a year ago.”

The major index of the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) surpassed 115,000 on Thursday, indicating a surge in the market.

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Pakistan resolves to meet benchmarks, and the IMF promises economic help.

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In the midst of an ongoing economic review, the delegation from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has promised Pakistan economic cooperation.

In order to assess the delivery of a $1 billion tranche under the $7 billion rescue deal, IMF officials are now in Pakistan.

Today, March 14, marks the completion of the two-week-long economic review and negotiations between the global lender’s representatives and Pakistani authorities.

The team met with Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb at the Ministry of Finance for the last round of negotiations.

The nation’s economic team’s actions and performance were praised by the visiting officials.

Aurangzeb promised the IMF during the conference that all economic goals would be met. He said that as long as the loan program is in place, no goals would be broken.

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