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SBP Governor Jameel predicts that Pakistan’s economy would rise by more than 3% in FY24–25.

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In the current fiscal year, Pakistan’s economic growth is expected to reach 3%, and forecasts for the upcoming year indicate that it will continue to accelerate, according to State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) Governor Jameel Ahmad.

The chairman of the central bank emphasized the significance of steady and progressive growth in order to prevent future balance of payments problems during a press conference on Thursday.

He pointed out that although Pakistan’s economy has grown by an average of 3.5% over the past ten years, the nation occasionally sees notable growth spikes followed by difficulties in the years that follow.

He stated that “the path to stable growth lies in gradual and consistent development,” emphasizing that the SBP will concentrate on controlling inflation and obstacles related to the foreign account.

The governor of the SBP also disclosed the SBP’s inflation target, which is set at 5 to 7 percent for the current fiscal year. Other sectors would profit as well, he said, if economic indicators improve and inflation stays under control.

“We hope that Pakistan’s current account will remain in surplus through December,” he said.

Remittances and the stabilization of foreign debt

Another update from the governor was that Pakistan’s foreign debt is still manageable. Currently, the nation owes $100.8 billion in foreign debt.

Despite the $500 million increase in this amount as a result of debt revaluation, Ahmad guaranteed that the overall debt situation has much improved since 2022.

Remittances have been leveling off and are projected to reach $35 billion by the end of this fiscal year, according to Mr. Jameel, who spoke about foreign exchange inflows. Additionally, exports are improving, but he urged greater efforts to boost export volumes, which are crucial for lowering dependency on remittances.

Prioritize SMEs and export growth.

“Achieving sustainable economic growth will depend on increasing exports and reducing dependency on remittances,” Jameel Ahmad stated.

Additionally, the SBP governor emphasized that foreign exchange reserves are being used efficiently to satisfy the needs of international businesses and investors. Pakistan gave $330 million in dividends and earnings to foreign investors in 2023, and by 2024, that amount had increased to $2.2 billion.

He also emphasized the government’s significant emphasis on growing the Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) sector, which he thinks would be essential to economic growth. SME loans up to Rs 10 million can now be obtained under the new regulations without collateral.

Additionally, the government has increased the loan target for SMEs from Rs 543 billion to Rs 1,100 billion, and banks have been directed to lend an additional Rs 100 billion to SMEs each year.

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Remittances Increase 25.2% in January 2025: $3.0 Billion Inflow

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Remittances from Pakistani workers totalled US$3.0 billion in January 2025, representing a 25.2% increase from the previous year.

The cumulative remittances for July through January of FY25 were 20.8 billion dollars, up 31.7 percent from 15.8 billion dollars during the same period in FY24.

In January 2025, the United States of America contributed 298.5 million dollars, the United Kingdom contributed 443.6 million dollars, the United Arab Emirates contributed 621.7 million dollars, and Saudi Arabia contributed 728.3 million dollars.

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In January, Pakistan’s remittances rose by 25%.

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In January 2025, Pakistan had a notable 25% growth in domestic remittances, with inflows hitting a record $3 billion for the month.

In a post on X, Khurram Shahzad, advisor to the Federal Finance Minister, revealed the most recent data, showing a sharp increase in remittances. The overall amount of remittance inflows from July 2024 to January 2025 was $20.8 billion, which is a 32% increase from the previous year.

According to official documents, the federal government’s non-tax revenue increased by Rs1,623 billion during the first half of the current fiscal year, from July to December, to Rs3,602 billion, up from Rs1,979 billion during the same period last fiscal year. The petroleum levy accounted for a significant portion of the increase, collecting an additional Rs76.64 billion, bringing the total petroleum levy revenue to Rs549 billion, up from Rs472.77 billion during the same period last year. Shahzad described the increase in remittances as a positive development for Pakistan’s economy and external accounts, and he projected that if this trend continues, annual remittances could surpass $35 billion by the end of the fiscal year.

Significant non-tax revenue was also generated by the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), which reported a profit of Rs2,500 billion from July to December, a substantial increase from Rs972 billion during the same period the previous year.

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It is anticipated that the cost of electricity will drop by Rs2 per unit.

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In an effort to help consumers, the government is attempting to lower electricity costs nationwide.

A task team has started negotiating with 45 more power facilities to reduce electricity rates, according to Ministry of Energy sources.

According to the plan, the profit margin of about 25 state-owned power plants will be cut from 19% to 13%, which will result in an electricity tariff drop of 50 paisa per unit. Moreover, rather than total production capacity, these power plants will now get compensation based on actual electricity generation.

It is anticipated that these actions will result in a Rs2 per unit drop in the overall electricity bill. The task force’s suggestions will probably be brought up for approval in the upcoming cabinet meeting.

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