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After PM’s 4th contact with IMF chief, Pakistan expects decision on stalled loan in a day or two

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  • PM Shehbaz speaks to IMF MD Georgieva on phone call.
  • IMF chief hopes Pakistan’s economic situation to improve.
  • Pakistan desperately needs IMF loan to avoid default.

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif said Tuesday that Pakistan expects a decision on the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) stalled bailout programme within a day or two as the struggling country continues to meet the lender’s demands.

The prime minister expressed hope after his telephone call with IMF Managing Director (MD) Kristalina Georgieva — his fourth contact with the lender’s boss in six days.

Rating agencies and economists fear that the $350 billion economy could default on its foreign debt obligations if it fails to secure the $1.1 loan tranche of the Extended Fund Facility (EFF).

The premier spoke to the IMF chief over the phone today after meeting her thrice — from Thursday to Saturday — on the sidelines of the New Global Financial Pact summit held in Paris, France.

The PM’s Office released a statement that the IMF chief and the prime minister discussed matters related to the stalled bailout programme.

On the call, the IMF chief acknowledged Finance Minister Ishaq Dar and his team’s efforts for attempting to revive the loan — after policy matters were discussed in Paris.

PM Shehbaz expressed hope that coordination on the points of the bailout programme would lead to a decision from the Washington-based lender in a day or two.

“The prime minister also reiterated his determination to achieve the goals of improving the economic situation through joint efforts,” the statement read.

The statement added that while hoping Pakistan’s economic situation would improve, the IMF chief appreciated the prime minister’s determination.

The South Asian nation is going through its worst economic crisis amid record inflation and interest rates, but it has seen prospects for its IMF loan take a positive turn before it expires at the end of the week.

In a dramatic final attempt to appease the lender, the nation agreed to raise taxes by $750 million and cut spending in its annual budget over the weekend. 

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E&P Companies Will Invest $5 Billion in Pakistan’s Petroleum Industry

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Over the next three years, local and foreign companies involved in Pakistan’s oil and gas exploration and production sector have shown a strong desire to invest more than $5 billion in the nation’s energy sector.

Recent changes to the Petroleum Policy and the implementation of an exclusive tight gas policy, which provide better incentives and a more investor-friendly regulatory framework, are credited with the increase in investor confidence.

These strategic changes are expected to boost domestic energy production, open up new avenues for growth, and draw large amounts of both domestic and foreign investment.

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With inflation slowing, the SBP is anticipated to lower the policy rate for the eighth time in a row.

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Businesspeople anticipate another reduction in the policy rate when the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) releases the updated rate.

The interest rate for the upcoming two months will be announced by the central bank. It is still unclear if the rate will stay the same or be lowered to reflect stakeholder expectations.

According to experts, the policy rate will be lowered in order to further boost the nation’s economic sector.

Interest rates may be lowered for the seventh time in a row if the inflation rate declines significantly more than anticipated.

In its last six sessions, the MPC had cut the policy rate by 10 percent. In January 2025, it decreased the rate by one percent to 12pc.

12PC POLICY RATE

In January, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announced cut in key policy rate by 100 basis points (bps) to 12 percent from 13pc in line with expectations of the business community.

The policy rate, which had been at 22 percent since June 2024, was slashed by 1,000 basis points to 12 percent.

The SBP governor said the decision was taken with careful consideration. “Although inflation is expected to decline next month (February), core inflation remains a pressing concern,” he stated.

Ahmed highlighted strong remittance inflows and robust export growth as key factors supporting the current account.

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Bulls in the stock market are still going strong.

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As the bullish trend persisted on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) on Monday, the KSE-100 index soared beyond the 115,000 level.

The PSX continued its upward trend from the weekend, and the KSE-100 index gained 600 points, reaching 115,048 points in early trading.

The index closed at 114,398 points on Friday, up 685 points.

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