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‘Cheap Russian crude lowers petrol by only Re1’

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  • If PARCO, NRL jointly refine Russian oil then benefit could go up to Rs3 per litre. 
  • Russia also squeezed discount to $5 per barrel at Platt price.
  • No company except PRL ready to refine, say authorities. 

ISLAMABAD: The Petroleum Division briefed caretaker Prime Minister Anwaar-ul-Haq Kakar on Russian crude’s impact on petroleum prices, saying that the maximum benefit is quite nominal of Re1 per litre of petrol and diesel, The News reported Friday. 

The division added that importing Russian crude involved two risks, including 30-36 days of transportation and 60% production of furnace oil that has to be exported at the rate of 75% of crude with a 25% loss.

No company except Pakistan Refinery Limited (PRL) is ready to refine the Russian oil, and if PRL is obliged to keep refining Russian oil, only Re1 relief can be passed on to consumers per litre of petrol, and diesel price.

The prime minister was also told that if PARCO and NRL jointly refine the Russian oil, the benefit could go up to Rs3 per litre again depending upon the volume of the Russian crude. 

PARCO, being comparatively the latest refinery and better plants will help increase the yields of Russian crude and reduce the production of furnace oil to some extent. However, PARCO and NRL have refused to refine Russian oil.

Russia has also squeezed the discount to $5 per barrel at Platt price against $15-$20 per barrel, the PM was briefed.

Brent price stands at $87 per barrel and against it, Russian crude has an existing price of $73 per barrel. The cost of Russian oil has crossed the cap price of $60 per barrel imposed by G7 countries and the import of Russian oil above the cap price will trigger problems on payments issue.

The decades-old PRL refined the heavy Russian crude URAL in almost three months by blending it with crude from the Middle East and local crude. The refinery adopted the strategy of refining by blending 45% URAL, 45% crude from the Middle East, and 10% local crude.

PRL is too old as it was incorporated in Pakistan as a Public Limited Company in May 1960. PRL is a hydro-skimming refinery designed to process various imported and local crude oil to meet the strategic and domestic fuel requirements of the country. 

The refinery has a capacity to process approximately 50,000 barrels per day of crude oil into a variety of distilled petroleum products such as motor gasoline, high-speed diesel, furnace oil, jet fuels, kerosene oil, and naphtha. Out of 100,000 URAL, PRL has produced 10% Mogas (petrol) 60% furnace oil and 10-15% high-speed diesel, and the remaining 15% other items. 

The official said that the furnace oil out of URAL has been produced 50% with high viscosity at 700cSt and PRL has to mix 10%v diesel in it to decrease its viscosity at 180 cSt so that it could flow. This is how the furnace oil production at 180 cSt escalates to 60% and diesel production is reduced by 10%. The net diesel production stands at 10-15% out of URAL. This means that out of 100,000 tonnes of URAL crude, the decades-old PRL has to export 60% URAL crude in the shape of furnace oil at 75% of crude with a 25% loss.

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The PSX has resumed operations, achieving a gain of 970 points.

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The optimistic close at the PSX was propelled by rumors preceding the International Monetary Fund (IMF) executive board meeting on September 25, at which the approval of a $7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF) is expected, stated Ahsan Mehanti of Arif Habib Commodities.

Strong economic indicators, such as increasing remittances, escalating exports, and a declining trade deficit, further bolstered investor confidence. Furthermore, the Asian Development Bank’s (ADB) commitment to a $2 billion yearly concessional loan until 2027, along with a robust rupee, significantly contributed to the market’s favorable performance, he stated.

Widespread purchasing at the PSX was noted among blue-chip stocks, with major players like Mari Petroleum (MARI), Engro Fertilizers (EFERT), United Bank Limited (UBL), Meezan Bank Limited (MEBL), and Fauji Fertilizer Company (FFC) recording substantial increases. According to Topline Securities, these stocks collectively resulted in a significant 682-point increase in the index.

Pioneer Cement Limited (PIOC) announced its fiscal year 2024 results, revealing a profits per share (EPS) of Rs 22.79 and a cash dividend of Rs 10 per share. This announcement contributed to the favorable sentiment in the market.

Trading volume surpassed 400.2 million shares, resulting in a total turnover of Rs15.9 billion. Worldcall Telecom Limited (WTL) topped the volume chart, transacting more than 32.2 million shares.

The Large Scale Manufacturing Index (LSMI) demonstrated a year-on-year (YoY) gain of 2.4% in July 2024. This expansion was propelled by multiple critical areas.

Tobacco experienced a significant increase of 90.2%, establishing it as the foremost contributor to the LSMI growth. Conversely, the automotive sector witnessed a substantial increase of 72.0%, indicating robust demand and output.

The transport equipment category experienced an 11.7% increase, signifying robust growth in the manufacturing of transport-related machinery and equipment. The other manufacturing sector experienced a gain of 10.7%, positively impacting the overall LSMI.

Nevertheless, not all industries exhibited strong performance. The leading decliner was the fabricated metal sector, which experienced an 18.4% decrease, signifying a contraction in metal product manufacturing. The electrical equipment industry experienced a substantial decline of 19.4%, indicative of reduced output levels.

In July 2024, the LSMI decreased by 2.1% on a month-on-month (MoM) basis. This fall signifies a minor contraction in manufacturing operations relative to the preceding month, although the favorable year-on-year growth.

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As of August 2024, Pakistan’s current account is in surplus.

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Pakistan’s current account deficit was $161 million as of August 2023, according to figures from the central bank.

The current account deficit for the months of July and August of this year was $171 million, compared to $939 million for the same time in the previous fiscal year.

According to experts, the 40% rise in remittances is the primary cause of the current account surplus.

August saw US$ 2.9 billion in offshore remittances to Pakistan, according to experts.

Comparing July of this year to July of last year, total exports increased by 11.3% YoY to $3.01 billion. In contrast to the $3.08 billion in exports the month before, it decreased by 2.2%.

Compared to the $4.99 billion in imports recorded in July of previous year, total imports increased 12.2% YoY to $5.6 billion. Imports decreased by 1.3% over the previous month.

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Islamic Sukuk Bonds: Government Is Expected To Begin Bond Auction Next Week

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There is now more positive economic news for the people of Pakistan. The government is anticipated to begin the Sukuk Islamic Bond auction next week, after the central bank’s announcement of a large drop in the policy rate.

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