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Gold loses shine as price falls for second consecutive day

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The gold rate declined for the second consecutive day in Pakistan on Friday in line with changes in the international market.

Data provided by the All Pakistan Sarafa Gems and Jewellers Association (APSGJA) showed that the rate of gold (24 carats) fell by Rs6,500 per tola and Rs5,573 per 10 grams to reach Rs230,800 and Rs197,874, respectively.

The yellow metal’s value had reached a record high on May 10 amid increased political uncertainty and violence following Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) Chairman Imran Khan’s arrest.

Meanwhile, the international gold rate decreased by $33 to settle at $2,005 per ounce. 

Analysts have said the international rate will continue to fluctuate during May because of uncertainty surrounding the raising of the United States debt ceiling by Congress.

Meanwhile, gold prices have been reaching new highs in Pakistan almost every other day due to a number of factors — economic and political turmoil, high inflation, and currency depreciation. People prefer to buy the yellow metal in such times as a safe investment and a hedge.

The government is yet to sign a staff-level agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for the release of a crucial economic bailout despite several months of talks, with international agencies warning that Pakistan risks default following the end of the current loan programme.

The country’s foreign exchange reserves are at a critically low level — not enough for even one month’s imports — and the rupee touched a new low of Rs300 against the US dollar on May 11.

Besides this, inflation has reached a record level and is the highest in South Asia while violent protests have been flaring up for days after the PTI chairman’s arrest. 

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E&P Companies Will Invest $5 Billion in Pakistan’s Petroleum Industry

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Over the next three years, local and foreign companies involved in Pakistan’s oil and gas exploration and production sector have shown a strong desire to invest more than $5 billion in the nation’s energy sector.

Recent changes to the Petroleum Policy and the implementation of an exclusive tight gas policy, which provide better incentives and a more investor-friendly regulatory framework, are credited with the increase in investor confidence.

These strategic changes are expected to boost domestic energy production, open up new avenues for growth, and draw large amounts of both domestic and foreign investment.

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With inflation slowing, the SBP is anticipated to lower the policy rate for the eighth time in a row.

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Businesspeople anticipate another reduction in the policy rate when the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) releases the updated rate.

The interest rate for the upcoming two months will be announced by the central bank. It is still unclear if the rate will stay the same or be lowered to reflect stakeholder expectations.

According to experts, the policy rate will be lowered in order to further boost the nation’s economic sector.

Interest rates may be lowered for the seventh time in a row if the inflation rate declines significantly more than anticipated.

In its last six sessions, the MPC had cut the policy rate by 10 percent. In January 2025, it decreased the rate by one percent to 12pc.

12PC POLICY RATE

In January, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announced cut in key policy rate by 100 basis points (bps) to 12 percent from 13pc in line with expectations of the business community.

The policy rate, which had been at 22 percent since June 2024, was slashed by 1,000 basis points to 12 percent.

The SBP governor said the decision was taken with careful consideration. “Although inflation is expected to decline next month (February), core inflation remains a pressing concern,” he stated.

Ahmed highlighted strong remittance inflows and robust export growth as key factors supporting the current account.

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Bulls in the stock market are still going strong.

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As the bullish trend persisted on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) on Monday, the KSE-100 index soared beyond the 115,000 level.

The PSX continued its upward trend from the weekend, and the KSE-100 index gained 600 points, reaching 115,048 points in early trading.

The index closed at 114,398 points on Friday, up 685 points.

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