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Govt likely to maintain status quo on petrol, diesel prices despite decline in global rates

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  • Petrol, diesel prices recorded significant decline in global market. 
  • Average price of diesel fell to around $100 per barrel globally.
  • Price of petrol dropped to $90 per barrel for next review.

KARACHI: Despite a major reduction in the international prices of diesel and petrol, the government has decided not to decrease the prices for local consumers to adjust the previous exchange losses as well as to raise taxation on the fuels, The News reported citing sources. 

The petrol and diesel prices in the global market have recorded a significant decline and average fortnight prices of both products would be taken for the next price revision on February 28, 2023.

According to the oil industry sources, the average price of diesel for the next fortnightly review dropped by $7 per barrel, which in terms of the Pakistani rupee comes to a Rs30 per litre reduction for the domestic price of diesel. The average price of diesel in the global market fell to around $100 per barrel compared to $107 per barrel in the previous fortnight.

The average price of petrol dropped to $90 per barrel for the next review of prices compared to $93 per barrel in the last fortnightly review of prices, translating into a Rs10 per litre reduction for the consumers in the local market.

Sources pointed out that rupee appreciation against the dollar in the last two weeks also helped cut the import price of diesel and petrol, as the average exchange rate dropped by Rs8 for the next review of prices.

Oil industry sources were however not hopeful about any major reduction in the prices of diesel and petrol for domestic consumers as the government was expected to adjust the exchange losses, which it did not pass on fully to the oil sector in the last many reviews.

For instance, an exchange loss adjustment of Rs88 per litre was due on diesel, but the government only transferred Rs12 per litre on this head, while the remaining was still to be adjusted. 

“It is likely that the government would pass on partially the adjustment because of getting space on the exchange rate side,” sources said.

Likewise, an exchange loss adjustment of Rs34 per litre was due on petrol, but the government only gave Rs12 per litre to the oil industry.

Sources said that under the conditions put down by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the government might increase the petroleum levy (PL) on diesel to Rs50 per litre as it has now got room to do it. Currently, it is Rs40 per litre on diesel.

Sources expect a Rs10 per litre cut in diesel if the government does not impose GST, which otherwise would deprive the local consumers of the drop in diesel prices in the global market.

Official industry sources do not expect any reduction in the price of petrol for the local consumers, which otherwise would have been down by Rs10 as per the trends of its price in the global market.

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Gold prices in Pakistan approach an all-time high.

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Following a substantial surge the prior day, gold prices in Pakistan are ascending to unprecedented levels with an additional gain on Thursday, coinciding with a rise in global precious metal rates.

The price of 24-karat gold in the local market rose by Rs700 per tola, reaching Rs277,900, as reported by the All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA).

Likewise, the cost of 10 grams of 24-karat gold increased by Rs600, currently priced at Rs238,254.

Globally, gold prices exhibited an upward trend, increasing by $7 throughout the day. The APGJSA reports that the international gold price was $2,682 per ounce.

Notwithstanding the increase in gold prices, the silver market exhibited stability, with the price of silver maintained at Rs3,050 per tola.

In the previous month, gold prices in Pakistan reached an unprecedented high of Rs 277,000 a tola, driven by substantial gains in the worldwide market.

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World Bank: Power industry subsidies soar by 400% in just five years.

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Ninety-four percent of domestic customers will benefit from the budgetary subsidy in 2024, according to a World Bank report, which credits the increase in protected consumers with contributing to the weight of subsidies.

In the current fiscal year, the electricity sector subsidy has increased by an astounding Rs. 954 billion, from Rs. 236 billion in the 2020 fiscal year to Rs. 1190 billion.

Notwithstanding changes, the circular debt has averaged Rs. 400 billion yearly over the last four years due to the incapacity to minimize losses and inadequate recovery of electricity payments.

According to the World Bank, the government must solve the fundamental problems in the power industry in order to lower the burden of subsidies and circular debt, as rising electricity prices and inadequate tax collection will only serve to worsen the circular debt crisis.

The rise in Pakistan’s power sector circular debt has raised worries from the World Bank (WB) despite an unprecedented increase in energy pricing.

Within the last six years, the debt has grown by 1241 billion rupees, according to the World Bank’s study. Between 2019 and 2021, the debt climbed by 1128 billion rupees.

The electricity sector’s circular debt has been increasing at an alarming rate, according to a World Bank analysis. Between 2022 and 2024, there was a substantial increase of 113 billion rupees.

Pakistan’s electricity industry has 2393 billion rupees in total circular debt as of 2024.

Restructuring is required to solve the circular debt issue, according to the World Bank.

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Final settlement: Govt to pay five IPPs Rs 72 billion.

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On October 10, Prime Minister (PM) Shehbaz Sharif declared that the agreements with five IPPS would be terminated in the first phase. Sources claim that the government will give Rs 15.5 billion to Rousch Power and Rs 36.5 billion to Hubco.

In a same vein, the federal government would pay Lalpir Power Rs 12.8 billion, Atlas Power Rs 15.5 billion, and Sapphire Power Rs 6 billion.

The sources state that late payment fees are not included in the settlement. With effect from October 1, the agreements with the five IPPs will be considered officially ended.

PM Shehbaz earlier remarked that the termination was carried out with the owners of the IPPs’ mutual permission while presiding over the federal cabinet meeting in Islamabad.

The Prime Minister notified the Cabinet that the only money that will be paid, interest-free, to these IPPs is the outstanding balance.

According to him, the national exchequer will gain over 411 billion rupees from the termination of these contracts, while power customers will save roughly sixty billion rupees.

According to Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, it was the result of the arduous teamwork of the entire government. In this regard, he also acknowledged the contributions and assistance of the associated parties. He specifically mentioned General Asim Munir, the Chief of Army Staff, who showed a personal interest in the situation.

The prime minister characterized the development as the start of a trip that will ultimately lead to the advancement and prosperity of the populace.

PM Shehbaz Sharif also brought up the assistance that the Punjabi and Federal governments gave to power users over the summer.

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