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Govt unaware of full scope of current economic crisis: Miftah Ismail

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  • Miftah says majority of the issues are self-inflicted.
  • Pakistan’s economic woes are not caused by IMF, former finmin says.
  • Urges govt to raise minimum wage to match pace of inflation.

Former finance minister Miftah Ismail said that the coalition government is unaware of the full scope of the current economic crises, emphasising that Pakistan has “been facing a crisis persistently,” The News reported Friday.

Miftah — while speaking during a pre-budget discussion at Salim Habib University titled ‘Pakistan’s financial crisis and a way forward’ — said Pakistan’s economic issues were not caused by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), but rather by “the successive leaderships of the country”.

“Pakistan should not be where it is right now; two million shopkeepers pay Rs30,000 in taxes,” he said, warning that more economic issues will arise in the nation, and “we must draw lessons from them”.

‘Majority issues are self-inflicted’

Commenting on the delay in the revival of the IMF programme, he reiterated that Pakistan needs the IMF for the 24th time to avoid default.

Miftah said: “Pakistan was going through a very difficult economic time and the nation does not have the resources to pay its debts.

“We have to go for an IMF programme, if we don’t go, we will default and no one in the world will give us loans,” the former finance minister said.

He said the majority of the issues are, in fact, self-inflicted; however, getting out of the economic spiral will take some time.

Pointing to the lack of revenue, the former finance minister said that the country needed to take new loans to pay the interest on the previous loans. 

He added that when a country borrows to retire the previous loans, the debt of that country becomes unsustainable.

Minimum wages must be raised

Regarding the upcoming budget, the former finance minister suggested that minimum wage — which is currently at Rs25,000 — must be raised to keep pace with the exorbitant inflation rate.

“For the past 75 years, 90% of Pakistanis have experienced the effects of inflation; nevertheless, 10% of the middle class and elite today also experience price hikes,” he pointed out.

Pakistan’s inflation, based on the consumer price index, increased to a record high of 36.4% in April from 35.4% in the previous month. The increase in inflation was due to higher food inflation amid currency devaluation.

He noted that Pakistan has a higher inflation rate than India and Bangladesh. “Not all inflationary pressures can be attributed to the increase in prices worldwide,” he said, adding that Pakistan’s policy decisions were flawed.

Highlighting the need for increased provincial competition for better performance, the former finance minister demanded that more federal powers should be transferred to the provinces. 

He claimed that because the US adopted this strategy, its states’ economies fared better. 

Miftah suggested that a meeting should be held between all the political stakeholders in Pakistan to discuss the best course of action to rescue the nation from this current economic crisis.

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It is anticipated that 150 ships would arrive at Gwadar by the year 2045, allowing the port to handle fifty percent of all imports.

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In an effort to strengthen the port’s economic importance, the Federal Government has made the decision to direct fifty percent of all imports from the public sector to Gwadar Port.

By taking this action, which has the backing of the Special Investment Facilitation Council, the port’s financial situation is going to be improved.

The Cabinet will be presented with a summary of imports through Gwadar by the Ministry of Maritime Affairs, which will take place after Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s recent trip to China.

When the next Cabinet Meeting takes place, Ahsan Iqbal, the Federal Minister for Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives, will examine the Chinese offer for the Karachi to Hyderabad Section of the ML-1 Project and bring it to the Cabinet.

Company preparations for the Shanghai International Import Expo, which will take place in November 2024, are being made by the Board of Investment and the Ministry of Commerce of Pakistan.

One of the most important aspects of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor is the Gwadar port, which serves as a significant commerce route connecting China, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. At this time, the Gwadar Port is able to accommodate two huge ships, and by the year 2045, it is anticipated that it would be able to handle up to 150 ships.

By developing the Gwadar Port, regional connectivity would be improved, employment will be created, and international investment will be attracted.

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The price of gold in Pakistan has experienced a significant surge.

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Gold prices in Pakistan surged significantly on Thursday following two consecutive days of decline, with the price per tola rising by Rs2,000 to reach Rs262,100. This increase was in accordance with the downward trend in international market values.

The All-Pakistan Gems and Jewellers Sarafa Association (APGJSA) reported that the price of 10 grams of 24-karat gold rose by Rs1,714, reaching Rs224,708.

Conversely, the world gold market experienced an upward trajectory. According to the APGJSA, the global price of gold surged to $2,503 per ounce following a $22 gain during the trading session.

The local market experienced a significant decline in silver prices, decreasing from Rs50 to Rs2,900 per tola after a prolonged period.

The local market’s gold prices remain subject to the ever-changing dynamics of the international market, as well as domestic considerations such as currency exchange rates and domestic demand.

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The government has not met the deadline set by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for the approval of a $7 billion loan.

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On Tuesday night, there were virtual talks between representatives of the Finance Ministry and the IMF delegation, with the main topics being external finance and income generation.

According to people familiar with the situation, no date has been set for the IMF’s Executive Board to approve the loan despite the ongoing negotiations.

Officials from the Finance Ministry informed the IMF mission about the government’s initiatives to get outside funding during the discussions. Updates on loan rollovers and fresh finance commitments from allies were included in this. According to sources, the IMF has received a schedule, and loan rollovers are expected to be finished by the end of next week.

The $12 billion in debt must be rolled over before the loan can be approved by the Executive Board, according to the IMF mission.

In the virtual discussions, representatives of the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR) conversed with the IMF team over the revenue deficit. The FBR must reach its revenue goals for this month, according to the IMF mission. As a result, the IMF has asked the FBR to submit a thorough strategy outlining how it will close the gap left by the shortfall and guarantee that revenue goals are reached.

Apart from the conversations on outside funding, there are rumors that the Finance Ministry is actively holding talks with commercial banks in order to obtain new funding. According to reports, negotiations are taking place with four distinct sources for commercial loans, which are anticipated to support the government’s overall financial plan.

Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb disclosed on Tuesday that the IMF was in favor of introducing targeted subsidies. He said that qualifying recipients might receive these subsidies through the Benazir Income Support Programme (BISP).

In order to guarantee consistency, the minister announced that this week’s talks with chief ministers will focus on implementing a similar policy across the country. He was having a casual conversation in parliament with the journalists.

In response to queries about outside funding, Aurangzeb revealed a $2 billion deficit and said that talks to close this gap are progressing. He stressed how crucial it is to obtain business loans.

He went on, “At this point, there’s a need to secure an agreement for commercial loans, not exactly their issuance,” emphasizing that debt rollover negotiations are nearing their conclusion and doing well. The minister expected that these developments would shortly be reported to the governments of allied countries by relevant authorities.

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