Currency snaps gaining streak due to import payment pressure.
Analyst says currency to consolidate between 215 to 220.
KARACHI: The Pakistani rupee lost nearly Re1 against the dollar in the interbank market after coming under pressure due to import payments and political uncertainty.
The local currency was gaining ground against the greenback in the last three consecutive sessions and gained Rs1.1 and was trading below 219.
The rupee closed at 220.68 after losing Rs0.95, or 0.43%, against the greenback in the interbank market compared to Tuesday’s close of 219.73.
Commenting on the rupee’s movement, Arif Habib Limited’s Head of Research Tahir Abbas told Geo.tv that the local unit is facing a “little pressure” in the interbank market.
He said that it seems like Pakistan has received funding from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) and the foreign exchange reserves stand in a better position.
“Most likely, allocation of $2 billion in funds from the World Bank will be received in November or December,” he said, adding that the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) review scheduled in November will provide some relaxation and some targets will be eased up.
He further added that Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s visit to China next month is expected to tap into new investment opportunities and there might be talks about rescheduling.
“This is a daily basis depreciation, however, the currency will consolidate between 215 to 220,” he added.
Speaking to Geo.tv, Pakistan-Kuwait Head of Research Samiullah Tariq said that the rupee movement is market-determined, so the supply drives the demand.
He added that there is a bit of pressure from the imports and the political uncertainty impacted the currency.
Tariq maintained that the market depended on the ADB’s funds and that it would reverse the impact. However, according to the recent government system, the number of dollar outflows will be the same as inflows.
He added that the effect of backlog from the two-three days can be seen on the parity.
In the international exchange market, the US dollar has continued to weaken in relation to the Pakistani rupee.
The dollar fell to Rs278.10 from Rs278.17 at the beginning of interbank trading, according to currency dealers, a seven paisa loss.
In the meantime, there was a lot of turbulence in the stock market, but it recovered and moved into the positive zone. The KSE-100 index recovered momentum and reached 116,000 points after soaring 1,300 points.
Both currency and stock market swings, according to analysts, are a reflection of ongoing market adjustments and economic uncertainty.
The cornerstone of economic cooperation between the two brothers and all-weather friends is still the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, the initiative’s flagship project.
In contrast to reports of a slowdown, recent events indicate a renewed vigour and strategic emphasis on pushing the second phase of CPEC, known as CPEC Phase-2, according to the Ministry of Planning, Development, and Special Initiatives.
According to the statement, this crucial stage seeks to reshape the foundation of bilateral ties via increased cooperation, cutting-edge technology transfer, and revolutionary socioeconomic initiatives.
Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal is leading Pakistan’s participation in a number of high-profile gatherings in China, such as the 3rd Forum on China-Indian Ocean Region Development Cooperation in Kunming and the High-Level Seminar on CPEC-2 in Beijing.
His involvement demonstrates Pakistan’s commitment to reviving CPEC, resolving outstanding concerns, and developing a strong phase-2 roadmap that considers both countries’ long-term prosperity.
At the core of these interactions is China’s steadfast determination to turn CPEC into a strategic alliance that promotes development, progress, and connectivity.
Instead of being marginalised, CPEC is developing into a multifaceted framework with five main thematic corridors: the Opening-Up/Regional Connectivity Corridor, the Innovation Corridor, the Green Corridor, the Growth Corridor, and the Livelihood-Enhancing Corridor.
With the help of projects like these, the two countries will fortify their partnership, and CPEC phase-2 will become a model of global economic integration and collaboration that benefits not just China and Pakistan but the entire region.
On December 2, core inflation as determined by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) significantly slowed, falling to 4.9% in November 2024 from 7.2 percent in October 2024.
The CPI-based inflation rate for the same month last year (November 2023) was 29.2%, according to PBS data.
Compared to a 1.2% gain in the prior month, it increased by 0.5% month over month in November 2024.