Inflation number is in line with Ministry of Finance’s outlook.
On a monthly basis, inflation moderates to 0.8% in November.
Going forward, economist expects inflation to come down further.
ISLAMABAD: The inflation rate eased to 23.8% last month compared to October’s record high inflation of 26.6% in line with the Ministry of Finance’s monthly outlook as the high base effect kicked in.
The latest inflation bulletin from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) also showed that the pace of price hikes also slowed down to 21.6% and 27.2% in urban and rural areas; however, the constant double-digit inflation in the country has adversely affected people’s purchasing power.
On a month-on-month basis, inflation moderated to 0.8% in November, compared to a whopping increase of 4% in the previous month and 3% in November 2021.
Economist Sana Tawfiq, while speaking to Geo.tv, cited a lower jump in food prices as a significant reason behind this month-on-month decline.
“Reasons for month-on-month moderation was lower jump in food prices with food index up meagre 0.1%, also transportation was down 0.1%.
“On the contrary; housing, clothing and household equipment indices were up monthly basis mostly showing a jump in winter-related items such as woollen garments and dry fruits,” she added.
The Ministry of Finance in its monthly outlook report had mentioned that inflationary pressure was expected to ease marginally in November due to smooth domestic supplies, unchanged energy prices and a stable exchange rate.
The prices of both non-perishable increased last month. The food group prices surged nearly 28.92% in November in comparison with the same month a year ago. The PBS data, however, showed that the prices of perishable food items decreased by 0.27%.
On a year-on-year basis, the pace of food inflation eased to 29.7% in cities and declined to 33.5% in villages and towns last month, according to PBS.
Non-food inflation dropped to 16.4% in urban areas and 21.4% in rural areas compared to the same month last year, according to the national data collecting agency.
Core inflation — calculated after excluding food and energy goods — eased to 14.6% in urban areas. However, it increased to 18.5% in rural areas. Tawfiq expressed concern over elevated core inflation as the economist believes higher core inflation is “alarming”.
“We expect headline inflation to come down further going forward, supported by high base,” Tawfiq predicted.
Price of essential kitchen items
The prices of onions — an essential vegetable used in all households — were higher by over 34% last month compared to September, followed by a 14.79% increase in the rates of tea, and nearly 14.5% in various the price of potatoes and dry fruits, according to the PBS.
However, the prices of vegetables decreased in a range of 10-30%, chicken by 5.08%, and rates of various pulses by over 5%, according to PBS.
Through the Special Investment Facilitation Council (SIFC), Pakistan’s trade connections with Saudi Arabia have grown significantly, with bilateral trade volume rising from $546 million to $700 million and exports to the Kingdom growing by 22%.
As bilateral economic cooperation continues to grow, Saudi investors have shown a strong interest in Pakistan’s construction, energy, agricultural, and information technology sectors. The objective for exporting IT services between the two countries has been raised from $50 million to $100 million.
Saudi Arabia has set up a help desk dedicated to making it easier for Pakistani IT companies to register in the Kingdom in order to expedite commercial procedures. The goal of this program is to speed up economic collaborations between the two countries and lower administrative barriers.
The well-known Saudi restaurant chain AlBaik has revealed plans to open locations in Pakistan, which is a big step for the food service industry and should lead to the creation of new job possibilities in the area.
Officials have noted that stronger business links between the two countries lead to greater economic stability, and the SIFC has played a crucial role in promoting these trade advancements. For bilateral trade and investment projects, the Council remains a crucial facilitator.
According to a trade official with knowledge of the developments, “the establishment of dedicated support mechanisms, such as the help desk for IT companies, demonstrates a commitment to long-term economic partnership,” The goal of these programs is to improve the conditions for commercial collaboration between the two nations.
The increasing amount of trade and the diversity of investment sectors show that Saudi Arabia and Pakistan’s economic ties are changing as both countries seek to deepen their business alliances in a number of industries.
After more than 50 years, the two governments will resume direct bilateral trade, with Bangladesh’s food ministry announcing Sunday that it will receive a supply of 25,000 tonnes of rice from Pakistan next month.
After former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina was overthrown last August, relations between Bangladesh and Pakistan have begun to improve after decades of tense relations.
Since then, there have been increased bilateral interactions between Bangladesh and Pakistan. Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus, the interim government’s senior adviser, has met twice with Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif.
According to the food ministry, Dhaka completed an agreement earlier this month to import grains from Pakistan.
“On March 3, the first shipment of 25,000 tonnes will reach Bangladesh,” Zia Uddin Ahmed, a ministry assistant secretary, told Arab News.
“This is the first time that Bangladesh has started importing rice from Pakistan at the government-to-government level since 1971.”
Following direct maritime contact between the two South Asian countries in November—a Pakistani cargo ship stopped in Bangladesh for the first time since 1971 with imports and exports arranged by private companies—their trade relations grew.
Resuming trade with Pakistan is a significant step for Bangladesh, according to Amena Mohsin, a lecturer at North South University and a specialist in international relations.
“We want to see progress in our bilateral relationship with Pakistan. Most significantly, we are currently going through a low point dispute with India, even though we constantly diversify our partnerships.
This most recent move to purchase rice from Pakistan is really significant in this context,” she told Arab News.
As of February 14, Pakistan’s total liquid foreign reserves were $15,947.9 million, with the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) holdings being $11,201.5 million.
Official figures for the week ending February 14, 2025, show that the central bank’s liquid foreign exchange reserves rose by $35 million to $11,201.5 million.
Commercial banks maintained net foreign reserves of $4,746.4 million during the period under review, according to the breakdown of foreign reserves.
The nation’s total liquid foreign reserves as of the week ending February 07, 2025, were $15,862.6 million.
Of these, the central bank held $11,166.6 million in foreign reserves, while commercial banks kept $4,696 million in net reserves.