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Petrol price in Pakistan likely to go down by Rs3-5 from June 16

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  • Pakistan to announce petrol price for next fortnight today.
  • Price of diesel will likely jump by Rs5 per litre.
  • Kerosene price may witness an increase of Rs2.10 per litre.

KARACHI: The Pakistani government is expected to announce a cut in petrol price today for a second time this month after a decline in the ex-depot price of gasoline, The News reported Thursday.

Well-placed sources in the industry, however, said that the price of diesel would likely jump by Rs5 per litre in today’s fortnight’s review of its price that would go into effect from June 16.

While for petrol, the price would likely go down by Rs3-5 in the fortnight review in case the government kept the exchange rate adjustment at zero.

According to the working of the industry, the ex-depot price of high-speed diesel (HSD) has been estimated to register an increase of Rs3.29 per litre to Rs256.29 per litre from Rs253 per litre.

Well-informed people in the industry said that in the last review of prices, the government had adjusted only Re0.13 on the diesel price. If it is adjusted to Rs3-4 in today’s review, the price may go up by Rs5 per litre.

The calculations showed that the ex-depot price of petrol is declining from Rs1.87 per litre to Rs260.13 per litre from Rs262 per litre. Likewise, the ex-depot price of light-speed diesel may register Rs2.48 to Rs150.16 from Rs147.68 per litre.

The price of kerosene may witness an increase of Rs2.10 to stand at Rs166.17 from Rs164.07 per litre in the next fortnight.

According to the sources, the exchange rate is also showing an upward trend for the next review of prices as it has gone up by Rs0.63/litre to Rs286.69 from Rs286.06/litre against the dollar.

They stated that the working of the industry was provisional, and whether the government would go with the actual difference in the prices of petroleum products or it would adjust the prices, could only be known once the government made its final decision.

When asked about the Russian crude oil import and its impact on the prices of petroleum products in the next fortnight, they stated that it would not have any impact on today’s review of prices as it was recently shipped to Pakistan, and the processing of this crude started on Wednesday.

Refined products from Russian crude oil would reach the market in two weeks. However, they said that even after the supply of these products, the market might not see any substantial impact on the domestic prices because of the low quantity against its consumption in the country.

They noted that even after the arrival of the second cargo on June 20, it would not have any impact on consumer prices until the share of Russian crude oil goes over 30% in total import of crude oil.

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E&P Companies Will Invest $5 Billion in Pakistan’s Petroleum Industry

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Over the next three years, local and foreign companies involved in Pakistan’s oil and gas exploration and production sector have shown a strong desire to invest more than $5 billion in the nation’s energy sector.

Recent changes to the Petroleum Policy and the implementation of an exclusive tight gas policy, which provide better incentives and a more investor-friendly regulatory framework, are credited with the increase in investor confidence.

These strategic changes are expected to boost domestic energy production, open up new avenues for growth, and draw large amounts of both domestic and foreign investment.

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With inflation slowing, the SBP is anticipated to lower the policy rate for the eighth time in a row.

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Businesspeople anticipate another reduction in the policy rate when the State Bank of Pakistan’s (SBP) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) releases the updated rate.

The interest rate for the upcoming two months will be announced by the central bank. It is still unclear if the rate will stay the same or be lowered to reflect stakeholder expectations.

According to experts, the policy rate will be lowered in order to further boost the nation’s economic sector.

Interest rates may be lowered for the seventh time in a row if the inflation rate declines significantly more than anticipated.

In its last six sessions, the MPC had cut the policy rate by 10 percent. In January 2025, it decreased the rate by one percent to 12pc.

12PC POLICY RATE

In January, the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) announced cut in key policy rate by 100 basis points (bps) to 12 percent from 13pc in line with expectations of the business community.

The policy rate, which had been at 22 percent since June 2024, was slashed by 1,000 basis points to 12 percent.

The SBP governor said the decision was taken with careful consideration. “Although inflation is expected to decline next month (February), core inflation remains a pressing concern,” he stated.

Ahmed highlighted strong remittance inflows and robust export growth as key factors supporting the current account.

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Bulls in the stock market are still going strong.

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As the bullish trend persisted on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) on Monday, the KSE-100 index soared beyond the 115,000 level.

The PSX continued its upward trend from the weekend, and the KSE-100 index gained 600 points, reaching 115,048 points in early trading.

The index closed at 114,398 points on Friday, up 685 points.

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