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Slight uptick in passenger car sales reported during November 2022

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  • Increase was of 39% on month-on-month basis.
  • Car sales decreased by 39% in first five months of FY23 
  • Further improvement expected in coming months after increase in issuance of LCs.

KARACHI: Passenger cars saw a slight uptick in sales during November 2022 compared with the data of the same month of 2021, reported The News on Tuesday citing data from the Pakistan Automotive Manufacturers Association (PAMA).

In percentage terms, the increase was 39% on a month-on-month basis, with analysts foreseeing a further improvement in the coming months due to the improved availability of raw materials for the car manufacturers after an increase in the issuance of letters of credit.

However, apart from the Suzuki Alto, sales of all other variants of cars, trucks, buses, tractors, jeeps, pick-ups, and three-wheelers as well as two-wheelers saw a decline in November 2022 compared with November 2021.

On the other hand, car sales decreased by 39% in the first five months of FY23 to 55,144 units against 90,303 units sold in the same period last year.

The data released by PAMA, passenger car sales increased by 0.60% or 93 units to 15,444 units in November 22 compared with 15,351 units sold during the same month last year. November 2022 sales increased by 39% or 4,315 units compared with 11,129 units sold in October 2022.

During this period, sales of 1300cc and above cars were recorded at 5,831 units, down 28% compared with the same period last year, when 8,102 units were sold. In November 2022, 1000cc cars recorded sales of 1,854 units, (1,136 units of Suzuki Cultus and 718 units of Suzuki WagonR) against 3,641 units in the same month last year.

Below 1000cc vehicles recorded a sale of 7,759 units, higher by 115% or 4,150 units against 3,609 units last year. Suzuki’s new Alto saw remarkable sales of 7,255 units, up by 282% to last year’s sales of 2,420 units.

Meanwhile, buses and trucks witnessed a decrease to 342 units in November 22 from 532 units in November 2021. The sale of jeeps and pick-ups went down to 2,947 units from 3,363 units sold during the same period last year.

On the other hand, sales of tractors dropped to 1,240 units from 4,617 units during November last year. The sale of rickshaws and motorbikes decreased to 110,529 units in November 2022 against 166,731 units in the same period last year.

According to a report of Topline Securities, Pakistan’s overall car sales were around 20,000 units, up 35% month-on-month, primarily due to the availability of CKD parts which led to higher production in November 2022 as compared to October 2022.

Pak Suzuki reported an increase of 55% month-on-month to 12,400 units in November 2022 followed by Honda Car’s increase of 38% month-on-month to 1,973 units in November 2022.

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Barrick CEO: Reko Diq mine will provide $74 billion in free cash flow over 37 years.

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Based on consensus long-term prices, the Reko Diq copper and gold project in Pakistan is anticipated to produce almost $74 billion in free cash flow over the next 37 years, according to the CEO of joint owner Barrick Gold, who made this statement in a media interview.

Half of the Reko Diq mine is owned by Barrick Gold, with the remaining 50% being owned by the province of Balochistan and the Pakistani government.

The development of the mine is anticipated to have a major impact on Pakistan’s faltering economy, and Barrick views it as one of the greatest untapped copper-gold zones in the world.

A protracted conflict that ended in 2022 caused the project to be delayed, although it is anticipated that production will begin by the end of 2028. In its initial phase, it will cost an estimated $5.5 billion and generate 200,000 tons of copper annually.

In an interview with the media, Barrick CEO Mark Bristow stated that the first phase should be finished by 2029.

He said that production will increase in a second phase, which is expected to cost $3.5 billion.

Although the mine’s reserves are estimated to last 37 years, Bristow stated that with improvements and additions, the mine’s useful life may be significantly extended.

Pakistan, which now has just about $11 billion in foreign reserves, could receive substantial dividends, royalties, and taxes from a free cash flow of $74 billion.

Additionally, Barrick is negotiating with infrastructure providers and railway authorities to renovate the coal terminal in Port Qasim, which is located outside of Karachi, Pakistan, in order to provide infrastructure for the domestic and international transportation of copper.

The project is on schedule, according to Bristow, with surveys, fencing, and lodging already finished.

In the next two quarters, the Saudi mining corporation Manara Minerals may make an investment in Pakistan’s Reko Diq mine, Pakistani Petroleum Minister Musadik Malik stated last week.

Manara executives traveled to Pakistan in May of last year to discuss purchasing a share in the project. Additionally, Pakistan is discussing mining prospects with other Gulf nations, according to Malik.

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According to projections made by the World Bank, Pakistan’s gross domestic product will expand by 2.8% during the fiscal year 2024-25.

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A significant gain of 0.5% from its previous estimate of 2.3% in June 2024, the World Bank has updated its forecast for the growth of Pakistan’s gross domestic product for the fiscal year 2024-25 to 2.8%.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected a growth rate of 3%, and our prediction falls short of that projection. Additionally, the government’s goal growth rate of 3.6% is lower than this prediction.

Pakistan’s growth is still relatively slow in comparison to that of its neighbors in the region, as stated in the World Bank’s World Economic Prospects Report 2025.

With a growth rate of 6.7%, India is anticipated to top the South Asian region. Bhutan, with a growth rate of 7.2%, Maldives, with a growth rate of 4.7%, Nepal, with a growth rate of 5.1%, Bangladesh, with a growth rate of 4.1%, and Sri Lanka, with a growth rate of 3.5% should follow.

The findings of the analysis reveal that although Pakistan’s economy is showing signs of minor improvement, it is still confronted with substantial obstacles. The nation’s foreign exchange reserves have been strengthened as a result of the fact that inflation, which had reached double digits in previous years, has now fallen to single digits for the first time since 2021.

Following the elections that took place in February 2024, the administration has implemented stringent fiscal and monetary policies, which have contributed to a reduction in uncertainty. This improvement can be linked to these policies.

It is anticipated that Pakistan’s per capita income will continue to be low until the year 2026, according to the World Bank, despite the fact that some favorable improvements have occurred. Not only does this reflect broader regional patterns, but it also underscores the fact that Bangladesh and Sri Lanka are also facing comparable issues.

The rising weight of debt was another topic that was brought up in the report. It is anticipated that interest payments will increase in both Pakistan and Bangladesh.

The ratio of Pakistan’s debt to its gross domestic product is expected to steadily decrease, assuming that the government continues to uphold its commitment to the existing loan arrangement with the International Monetary Fund. A warning was issued by the World Bank, stating that any deviation from the program might have a significant impact on the economic operations of the country. The World Bank emphasized the significance of complying to the requirements of the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Despite the fact that the country’s inflation rate has been moderated and its reserves have been strengthened, experts have pointed out that the implementation of structural reforms and the management of external debt are the most important factors in determining the country’s long-term economic stability.

According to a report published by the World Bank, Pakistan needs to provide consistent policies and a stable macroeconomic environment in order to maintain investor confidence.

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SIFC and UNICEF Collaborate on Youth Training: $1.5 Million Girls’ Education Agreement

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A deal between UNICEF and the Muslim World League has been signed to start the “Green Skills Training Program,” which would equip young people with digital and sustainable development skills.
With the help of the Special Investment Facilitation Council, the program will provide educational and employment opportunities to economically disadvantaged youth, particularly girls.
One and a half million dollars have been committed by the Muslim World League to support Pakistani girls’ education and training. The program’s goal is to give young people the tools they need to have a sustainable future.
This program is a component of a 14-year partnership between UNICEF and the Muslim World League, which has aimed to enhance the lives of children in numerous nations. The program will improve vocational training and provide Pakistani youth with economic opportunities through SIFC’s assistance.

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