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Govt unaware of full scope of current economic crisis: Miftah Ismail

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  • Miftah says majority of the issues are self-inflicted.
  • Pakistan’s economic woes are not caused by IMF, former finmin says.
  • Urges govt to raise minimum wage to match pace of inflation.

Former finance minister Miftah Ismail said that the coalition government is unaware of the full scope of the current economic crises, emphasising that Pakistan has “been facing a crisis persistently,” The News reported Friday.

Miftah — while speaking during a pre-budget discussion at Salim Habib University titled ‘Pakistan’s financial crisis and a way forward’ — said Pakistan’s economic issues were not caused by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), but rather by “the successive leaderships of the country”.

“Pakistan should not be where it is right now; two million shopkeepers pay Rs30,000 in taxes,” he said, warning that more economic issues will arise in the nation, and “we must draw lessons from them”.

‘Majority issues are self-inflicted’

Commenting on the delay in the revival of the IMF programme, he reiterated that Pakistan needs the IMF for the 24th time to avoid default.

Miftah said: “Pakistan was going through a very difficult economic time and the nation does not have the resources to pay its debts.

“We have to go for an IMF programme, if we don’t go, we will default and no one in the world will give us loans,” the former finance minister said.

He said the majority of the issues are, in fact, self-inflicted; however, getting out of the economic spiral will take some time.

Pointing to the lack of revenue, the former finance minister said that the country needed to take new loans to pay the interest on the previous loans. 

He added that when a country borrows to retire the previous loans, the debt of that country becomes unsustainable.

Minimum wages must be raised

Regarding the upcoming budget, the former finance minister suggested that minimum wage — which is currently at Rs25,000 — must be raised to keep pace with the exorbitant inflation rate.

“For the past 75 years, 90% of Pakistanis have experienced the effects of inflation; nevertheless, 10% of the middle class and elite today also experience price hikes,” he pointed out.

Pakistan’s inflation, based on the consumer price index, increased to a record high of 36.4% in April from 35.4% in the previous month. The increase in inflation was due to higher food inflation amid currency devaluation.

He noted that Pakistan has a higher inflation rate than India and Bangladesh. “Not all inflationary pressures can be attributed to the increase in prices worldwide,” he said, adding that Pakistan’s policy decisions were flawed.

Highlighting the need for increased provincial competition for better performance, the former finance minister demanded that more federal powers should be transferred to the provinces. 

He claimed that because the US adopted this strategy, its states’ economies fared better. 

Miftah suggested that a meeting should be held between all the political stakeholders in Pakistan to discuss the best course of action to rescue the nation from this current economic crisis.

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Robust activity lets PSX climb above 115,000 level again.

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On Friday, the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) resumed its upward trend, crossing 115,000 points once more.

The PSX had strong action in the morning session, as the KSE-100 index increased by 1,000 points to 115,138.

The notoriously volatile PSX closed Thursday at 114,037 points, up 594 points.

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Meanwhile, in the interbank market this morning, the US dollar fell 7 paisas to Rs278.65 against the Pakistani rupee.

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SBP will announce monetary policy on January 27.

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The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) will release its monetary policy on Monday.

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the SBP will convene on the first day of the following week to make decisions on monetary policy.

The Monetary Policy decision will be announced by Governor SBP Jameel Ahmad at a news conference on the same day after the MPC meeting, according to an official release.

In December, the central bank reduced policy rates by 200 basis points (bps) to 13 percent.

“In November 2024, headline inflation fell to 4.9 percent year on year, meeting the MPC’s estimates. This decrease was mostly caused by the ongoing decline in food inflation and the phasing out of the impact of the gas tariff increase in November 2023,” SBP stated in an official release.

“However, the Committee noted that core inflation, at 9.7 percent, is proving to be sticky, while consumer and business inflation expectations remain volatile.” To that end, the Committee restated its previous assessment that inflation may remain volatile in the short term before stabilizing within the target range.

“At the same time, growth prospects have slightly improved, as evidenced by a recent increase in high-frequency indicators of economic activity.” Overall, the Committee concluded that its approach of gradual policy rate decreases is keeping inflationary and external account pressures under control while promoting long-term economic growth.

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Finance Minister Meets With World Leaders at World Economic Forum in Davos

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During his attendance at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has met with officials of organisations and leaders of many nations.
Bangladesh’s Chief Advisor, Muhammad Younas, met with Mohammad Aurangzeb.
On the fringes of the World Economic Forum’s Annual Meeting 2025 Opening Banquet, there was an informal meeting.
Additionally, the Finance Minister met with Anwar Ibrahim, the Prime Minister of Malaysia.
Both leaders discussed economic cooperation and bilateral ties.
Muhammad Aurangzeb also had a meeting with Dp World’s Rizwan Soomro and Yuvraj Narayan.
They talked about how to strengthen Pakistan’s logistics and infrastructure systems to support trade.
“The Pakistani government is committed to advancing joint projects and values partnerships in both business-to-business and business-to-government cooperation,” the finance minister added.

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