Business
Due of debt anxiety, the dollar is trading close to multi-month lows.
– A wavering dollar teetered near multi-month lows on Monday in a market unsettled by the U.S. Treasury’s promise to buy back more long bonds, while traders awaited details of sanctions on Iran and on policy speeches this week in the U.S. and Japan.
The Canadian dollar slipped 0.2% in early trade, to C$1.3798 per dollar, after trade talks with the U.S. collapsed and Washington imposed 50% tariffs on Canadian goods, with Canada retaliating in kind.
The Australian and New Zealand dollars traded just shy of three-month highs at $0.7171 and $0.5979 respectively.
The euro was comfortably above $1.16 at $1.1685 while the yen kept to the strong side of 159 per dollar.
Friday data showing the strongest U.S. services growth in nearly two years in August held off dollar sellers in steady early trade.
The dollar logged its largest weekly drop against bitcoin in nearly three-and-a-half years on Sunday and it’s been sliding sharply on gold over revived fears the currency will suffer if the U.S. tries to hold down yields.
Long-end yields have been climbing globally on a combination of a solid economic growth outlook, rising inflation expectations and nerves about ballooning sovereign debts.
Last week, after 30-year yields hit almost two-decade highs, the U.S. Treasury announced it would double buybacks at the long end to $4 billion per operation.
The size is paltry in a market worth $32 trillion but the interventionist signal spooked traders and hit the dollar.
“The U.S. Treasury’s attempts to artificially hold down long-term bond yields appears to be reigniting the $US debasement trade,” said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy at Australian financial services firm AMP.
The mood was keeping Australian dollar above 71 cents, he said.
Sterling was firm at $1.3650 in morning trade and the yuan , which notched an eighth straight weekly rise last week, hovered near a 3/1-2 year high at 6.7222 per dollar.
SANCTIONS AND WARSH
Later on Monday, at 1800 GMT, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is due to hold a press conference after threatening “the toughest sanctions in history” on Iran, with markets focused on whether he will target China.
Iran’s foreign minister has dismissed the threat of new U.S. sanctions as a sign of desperation.
Market participants will also be hoping for some clarity on the outlook for U.S. interest rates when Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh speaks in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on Friday.
He is also sure to face questions about Treasury’s buybacks.
“Any comments on the balance sheet, duration supply, or term premium could move the long end more than the data itself. That said, given Warsh’s typically restrained style, we aren’t holding our breath,” said BNY strategist Geoff Yu.
A Thursday appearance by Bank of Japan deputy governor Ryozo Himino will also be closely watched as a prelude to next month’s policy meeting. In particular, investors will be looking to see if he pushes back on a shift in market pricing to see a faster pace of hikes.
“Himino may signal the BOJ is moving closer to another interest rate hike,” said Commonwealth Bank of Australia strategist Joe Capurso.
“However, any hawkish comments are likely to exert only modest downward pressure on USD/JPY. Developments in the U.S. bond market area are a more important driver of USD/JPY.”
Business
Dollar steady ahead of Fed decision, kiwi slumps after RBNZ holds
– The U.S. dollar was steady at a two-week high on Wednesday ahead of central bank policy decisions, with the Federal Reserve widely expected to maintain its policy interest rate unchanged but signal the likelihood of any December rise.
Most dollar counterparts were flat ahead of the Fed decision. The euro was barely changed at $1.1129 and the British pound was also barely changed at $1.3307. The dollar last traded 0.1% weaker at 157.81 yen, having swung between gains and losses.
The kiwi dollar fell as much as 1.7% to $0.5585 as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand surprised the market by keeping rates at 2.75%. A Reuters poll found 22 out of 27 experts expected the central bank to boost rates.“The market just got that wrong,” said Mike Houlahan, a director at Electus Financial Ltd in Auckland. “Only 10 days left until the election,” he said. “It’s good manners not to get involved in politics.”
The Australian dollar was 0.1% firmer at $0.7035 after inflation figures of 1.3% in the third quarter of the year, after 0.6% the previous quarter. The trimmed mean measure of core inflation came in at 1% as expected by the market, putting the annualised rate at an above-target 3.6%.
Governor Michele Bullock told lawmakers on Wednesday that the Reserve Bank of Australia will debate whether four rate rises this year will be adequate to return inflation to goal at a policy meeting next week.
For US traders, mostly looking for no change in central bank policy. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool indicated fed funds futures are pricing a 91% chance the Federal Open Market Committee would maintain its policy interest rate on hold.”The Fed doesn’t have to hike today to move markets,” said Chris Weston, chief research officer at Pepperstone Group in Melbourne. It just needs to alter the estimated probability of trekking in December.
The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against six currencies, climbed 0.3% to 102.40, its best since October 14. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note was flat at 4.9967%.
In the cryptocurrency market bitcoin was unchanged at $80,736.07 while ether edged up 0.1% to $2,345.25.
Business
PSX maintains positive momentum as KSE-100 reaches 164,633 points
The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) on Wednesday continued its bullish trend with purchasing trend.
In early trade, the benchmark KSE-100 Index added 166.25 points, or 0.10 percent, to 164,633.45 points.
The index entered the morning on a bullish note after a solid performance in the previous trading session where it gained 1,428.73 points or 0.88 per cent to close at 164,467.20, reported Business Recorder.
In the recent session, the benchmark index swung between an intraday high of 164,918.95 and a low of 164,502.45. It exchanged 19.23 million shares of stock. The reported trade value was 1.48 billion.
The market’s newest rally came after two straight days of advances and reflected ongoing purchasing enthusiasm in a broad range of large sectors.
The benchmark moved higher on Tuesday as investors bought into oil and gas marketing companies, commercial banks, refineries and cement industries, as well as technology and communication sectors. The index climbed 663.59 points on Monday after a chaotic trading session.
Business
Pakistan destroys Afghan Taliban posts after civilians targeted in S Waziristan
Several installations of Afghan Taliban were demolished by Pakistan’s armed forces after they targeted civilian population, martyring one and injured five along Pak-Afghan border in Angoor Adda South Waziristan (Lower) on Tuesday nite.
Firing and shelling along the Pakistan-Afghanistan border hit a residential area in Angoor Adda, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, security sources said, killed a civilian and injuring five members of a family.
Read More: Afghan border fire in South Waziristan: One civilian dead, five injured
The tragedy came amid reported cross-border clashes, with a shell hitting a house in the region and killing residents, the sources added.
Security sources held the Afghan Taliban regime responsible for the incident noting that civilian areas were targeted during the exchange of fire. The incident, which resulted in deaths and injuries from the shelling, provoked indignation among local residents.
The Pakistan Army replied immediately to the aggression from the Afghan side. In the tit-for-tat operation, insiders added, Pakistan’s armed forces destroyed many Afghan security checkpoints.
Security sources said the Pakistani troops deployed near the Pakistan-Afghanistan border were fully prepared to respond to any possible invasion.
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