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Dollar hovers at two-week low as rate-hike forecasts fade, emphasis on beleaguered yen

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The U.S. dollar held near a two-week low on Monday as investors trimmed bets for a Federal Reserve rate hike this year, while the yen stayed locked near a 40-year low, putting investors on edge over what Tokyo would do next.

The euro bought $1.1435, close to its best level in two weeks, and the pound bought $1.3351 in latest trading. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six others, was at 100.9 early in the trading day.

The yen stood at 161.57 to the dollar, not far from a 1986 low of 162.84 set last week, with traders still concerned of probable intervention after a surprising burst of purchasing momentarily raised the currency on Thursday.

The South Korean won edged higher on the first day of its historic 24-hour onshore spot dollar-won trading. It sold for 1,534 to the dollar.

DOLLAR ON THE DEFENSIVE

The U.S. dollar suffered its largest weekly loss last week since April after the U.S. payrolls report indicated that job growth slowed abruptly in June, lowering market expectations of a rate hike from the Fed.

Still, the fall in the unemployment rate indicates a healthy labour market and should assist preserve Fed tightening expectations, OCBC strategists said.“The broader USD outlook remains constructive,” they wrote, confirming their call for a modest ​2-3% rise in the dollar in the second half of 2026.

Falling oil prices have helped soothe some inflationary concerns, and investors this week will focus on the minutes of the Fed’s June meeting to help evaluate policymakers’ thinking regarding the rates forecast.

Strategists at Commonwealth Bank of Australia said the minutes might be shorter or less insightful than normal because Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh believes the central bank has offered too much direction in the past.

YEN VIGIL ON

The yen remained in the spotlight, hovering near a 40-year low as the threat of official intervention kept traders on edge, but analysts doubted any move by Tokyo would provide durable assistance.

OCBC strategists said the danger of intervention is more likely to create bouts of volatility and transitory ​corrections rather than a durable reversal in USD/JPY.”Without a meaningful change ​in underlying macro ​fundamentals, verbal warnings and outright intervention alone are unlikely to change the broader direction of the pair,” they concluded. The Japanese policymakers have also broken their tradition of telegraphing risks, suggesting a more targeted drive to squeeze speculators and boost the cost of betting against the yen, which investors are also worried about.Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, said, “The market understands about the risk of intervention. “We’re still seeing indications in the options market that some sizable pools of capital have bought short-dated dollar puts to hedge long dollar positions in the event of intervention,” he said.

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Jet fuel price rises by Rs9.05 per litre in Pakistan

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 Jet fuel prices have once again increased in the country, along with the price of kerosene oil.

The price of jet fuel has been increased by Rs9.05 per litre, while kerosene oil has become Rs7.68 per litre more expensive.

Following the increase, the new price of jet fuel has been fixed at Rs355.52 per litre, while kerosene oil will now cost Rs329.54 per litre.

Meanwhile, according to a notification issued by the Petroleum Division, the price of petrol has also been increased by Rs2.10 per litre, taking its new price to Rs392.76 per litre.

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Govt sets deadline of 20th Oct for pilgrims to pay 2nd Hajj installment

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The religious affairs ministry stated late Friday that the federal government has fixed October 20 as the deadline for intending pilgrims selected under the government Hajj system to deposit the second installment of their pilgrimage dues.

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan has set aside 107,526 slots for the government plan, including 30,000 for a shorter package, and another 71,696 slots have been granted to the private scheme for next year’s Hajj.

The country on Aug. 25 completed online booking of all tickets in the government Hajj scheme, the first time the whole quota has been filled through a digital reservation system.

The ministry of religious affairs said in a statement on Friday that the applications of pilgrims for next year’s Hajj will be cancelled if they did not pay by the deadline.

“The dates for depositing the second installment of dues for Hajj pilgrims under the government scheme have been fixed from 5 October to 20 October, 2026,” the ministry said.

“If the second installment is not deposited within the deadline, then the Ministry said the pilgrim’s application will be cancelled and the amount deposited earlier will be refunded to the pilgrim’s account,” the Ministry said.

Under the government arrangement, pilgrims can pay the second payment of Hajj dues through the ‘Pak Hajj App’ or digital Hajj site within the stipulated deadline.

The government said that submitting the Hajj medical fitness certificate on the ‘Pak Hajj’ app or the digital Hajj portal was essential before depositing the second installment.

This year the government announced that pilgrims will pay Rs1.2 million ($4,334) for a 40-day Hajj package and Rs1.3 million ($4,695) for a shorter, 20- to 25-day package under the government system.

The first installment of dues for seats under the shorter government package was paid within 24 hours of the process starting on Aug 18 and the rest of the seats under the plan were booked by Aug 25.

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Petrol price goes up by Rs2.10, diesel by 30 paisa a liter:

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– Petrol and diesel prices have been increased once again under the latest fuel-price revision.

The revised prices will take effect from October 3, 2026.

According to a notification issued by the Petroleum Division, the price of petrol has been increased by Rs2.10 per litre. Following the latest increase, petrol will now cost Rs392.76 per litre.

The price of high-speed diesel has also been raised by 30 paisa per litre, taking its new rate to Rs399.64 per litre.

The Petroleum Division said the announced rates are linked to movements in international petrol and diesel prices.

According to the notification, changes in the global market, Platts rates, premiums and other associated costs were taken into account when determining the revised prices.

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