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Dollar eyes big September jump, largely at euro’s expense

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The dollar was near this year’s high against the euro and heading for its biggest monthly gain against it in 14 months on Wednesday, thanks to US growth and rising US interest rates relative to oil and debt worries swirling in Europe.

The euro dropped to an 11-month low of $1.1312 on Tuesday and was last quoted at $1.1339 in Asia on Wednesday. The euro is also challenging support at about 178 yen.
The dollar is up almost 2.5% against the euro in September and is on track for a third consecutive quarterly gain.

The Aussie dollar fell below 70 cents for the first time since early August as the stronger greenback dragged it down to a nine-week low of $0.6959 after inflation data came in a tad below predictions.”The US economy is running hot, Europe is losing the global ​AI race and energy supplies and French politics remain big concerns for the euro,” said Brent Donnelly, president of foreign exchange trading ​at analytics firm Spectra Markets.

European benchmark gas prices jumped earlier this month to their highest since 2022.

French markets are being squeezed by debt and political paralysis ahead of next year’s presidential election with the margin with German rates blowing out above 115 basis points to its largest since 2012.

Options prices have just shifted dramatically to suggest investors prefer buying protection from potential euro declines – though Donnelly argues the dollar probably needs strong US data to make advances from here.

The dollar also struck a 16-1/2-month high against the Swiss franc of 0.8358 francs on Tuesday. The franc has been hit in part because investors have been searching for low-yielding alternatives to yen to sell so they can get carry elsewhere.

The yen has fallen out of favor as a short against the dollar, with US-Japan currency buying in July and August, then warnings not to test their resolve and a rise in the pace of Japanese rate ​hikes.

The dollar has lost 2% against the ​yen so far this month and ⁠almost 3.8% for the quarter to date, hitting a nearly two-week low of 156.38 in Asia trade.

The Fed’s favored inflation gage, US core PCE, is coming later on Wednesday but the market is looking forward Friday’s US jobs data which if strong might bolster predictions that US interest rates are headed higher.

Some of those hopes got knocked overnight when prominent New York Fed President John Williams indicated there is “no need for urgency” in raising rates. The yield on the two-year Treasury declined by 3.5 basis points and the odds in Fed funds futures of a rate hike next month fell to 50% from 71%.

The New Zealand dollar on Tuesday hit its lowest since last November and was last at $0.5645.

Sterling dropped to a three-month low on Tuesday and last traded near that level at $1.3230. The yuan was headed for a seventh quarterly increase in a row against the dollar in its last session before China’s Oct. 1-7 holidays.

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India’s Jio IPO opens for public bids in record $3.2 billion sale

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Jio Platforms’ (JIOP.NS) $3.2 billion IPO launches on Wednesday, testing demand for India’s largest share sale to date and the first from billionaire Mukesh Ambani’s Reliance (RELI.NS) conglomerate in two decades.

The Jio Platforms IPO will be a crucial test of global appetite for fresh share offerings at a time when investors have tightened their examination of AI-related companies which some analysts think might see them shifting away from the technology.

Jio Platforms, the parent of India’s biggest telecom firm with over 500 million subscribers, backed by Meta, ​Google and institutional investors, is the world’s second-largest telecom operator in a single country behind China Mobile.

The IPO ​values Jio Platforms at up to $108.3 billion, possibly making it one of India’s biggest corporations by market valuation when ​trading kicks out on October 28. About a third of the shares on offer are allocated for retail investors.

Jio Platforms this week allocated $853 million worth of shares to global and local investors including Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and BlackRock, after the reserved part for such investors attracted bids of more than $25 billion.

LAUNCH DATES FESTIVE

Retail investors and Reliance’s employees and stockholders will get a chance to join in the offering that closes Friday and has a price range of 1,065 to 1,119 rupees a share.
The IPO is Reliance’s first since 2006 and is larger than previous huge offerings such as Hyundai Motor India (HYUN.NS), opens new tab, and National Stock Exchange (NSEI.BO).

The plans were also delayed in 2025, when Ambani first said he planned to list in five years in 2019. A filing in as early as March was stymied by the Iran war sapping IPO enthusiasm.

Ambani’s son Akash runs Jio Platforms’ telecom company, which started in 2016 with the gamble that Indians would use the internet a lot more if it cost virtually nothing. It quickly seized market share from rivals like Bharti Airtel (BRTI.NS), opens new tab and Vodafone Idea (VODA.NS), opens new tab with cheap data ​and free voice calls.

Jio Platforms is selling its IPO in the middle of a Hindu festive season, seen as a lucky time for buying, although Indian markets have been dull in recent weeks.

Reliance this month also paid pay cheques approximately 15 days early to its more than 400,000 employees and in recent weeks helped expedite share account opening services to people interested in applying for the IPO, said a person in the business with direct knowledge of the situation.

Reliance did not immediately reply to a request for comment.

For the year ending in March, Jio Platforms posted a profit of $3.2 billion on revenue of $15.5 billion. Its telecoms division alone accounted for over 90% of those figures.

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Pakistan borrows Rs1,514bn in first quarter of FY2026-27

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Documents of the Ministry of Economic Affairs showed that the government borrowed Rs1,514 billion during first quarter of the current fiscal year 2026-27, July-September including Rs1,037 billion in September alone.

The data show that the government borrowed around Rs913 billion more in September 2026 than in September 2025.

The documents showed that the government sold $3 billion worth of bonds in September. Of this, $1.75 billion of bonds have an interest rate of 7.5% and the rest $1.25 billion have an interest rate of 7.9%. The bonds will maturity in 2036.

The Ministry of Economic Affairs said the revenues from the issuing of the $3 billion bond could be utilised for budget support, with the Ministry of Finance as the executing agency. The amount is around Rs818 billion in local currency.

Besides the bonds, the government borrowed Rs17 billion through non-project finance, which comprises budget support and short-term loans.

“The documents also revealed that the government obtained $5.44 billion in foreign loans and grants from July to September. This was up $3.63 billion from the $1.81 billion received in the same time of the last fiscal year.

In the first quarter, the government also obtained a $300 million medium-term financing arrangement from an international commercial bank.

The Economic Affairs Division said the funds mobilised through the Naya Pakistan Certificates had witnessed a massive surge during the first quarter of the current fiscal year. During the period, Naya Pakistan Certificates worth $942.7 million were issued.

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PSX gains over 400 points at opening

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— The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) kicked off on a bullish note on Tuesday with the benchmark KSE-100 Index rising more than 400 points in early trade.

The index rose to 166,425 points at the start of the second trading session of the business week, indicating better market performance.

The KSE-100 Index closed down 453 points at 165,966 points in the last trading session.

The benchmark index turned positive during early trading after falling in the previous session. The latest gains were made as the benchmark index went into positive territory during early trading.

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