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Gold steady as investors wait for news of US-Iran peace pact

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Gold prices were little changed on Tuesday after hitting a more than one-week high in the previous session, as investors anticipated further details on the U.S.-Iran peace pact.

Spot gold rose 0.2% to $4,315.87 per ounce by 0231 GMT, after climbing as much as 3.6% on Monday to its highest since June 5.

U.S. gold for August delivery declined 0.3% to $4,337.10.

The U.S. and Iran have signed a preliminary deal to halt the war in the Gulf, President Donald Trump ⁠said Monday, with specifics yet not made public and both sides saying a permanent truce is not yet negotiated. “We’ve got a nice run in gold prices since late Thursday on the Iran news. “This euphoria rally could last for a few more days and climax with the signing ceremony on Friday,” said Edward Meir, an analyst at Marex.

The U.S. dollar hovered near 10-day lows ahead of the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision.

Investors are also looking to Wednesday’s Federal Reserve policy decision and comments, the first under Chair Kevin Warsh, with rates widely expected to remain unchanged.Markets are not pricing any rate cuts this year. “If Warsh hints that at least one cut could be coming later this year, the dollar should weaken further and we could see another rally in gold,” Meir added.However, if he sounds more hawkish on rates, gold could come under some pressure.”

Gold is an inelastic asset and tends to lose its attraction in a higher interest rate environment.

Meanwhile, Citi boosted its 0-3 month gold price projection to $4,500 per ounce from $500.

Spot silver was down 1% at $69.29 an ounce, platinum down 0.9% to $1,751.55 and palladium was 1.6% lower at $1,327.27.

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As oil rises due to concerns about the Strait of Hormuz closing, gold falls more than 1%.

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– Gold prices slid ‌more than 1% on Monday as fears of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz drove oil prices sharply higher, reviving expectations of elevated interest rates to combat inflationary pressures from escalating hostilities in the Middle ​East.

Spot gold dropped 1.5% to $4,060.36 per ounce by 0541 GMT. U.S. gold futures for August ​delivery were down 1.1% at $4,068.30.

U.S. and Iranian forces have exchanged heavy missile ⁠and drone assaults, with Tehran targeting U.S. facilities in states across the Gulf on Sunday and saying ​it had again closed the vital Strait of Hormuz.

Oil prices jumped about 4%, the dollar and ​U.S. Treasury yields climbed, and share markets slipped in Asia.

“Any breakout of violence in the Gulf is accompanied by pressure on gold,” said Nicholas Frappell, global head of institutional markets at ABC Refinery.

“The question is, if the ​Strait of Hormuz remains effectively or partially closed, does that lead to a deflationary effect, ​further down the road, that might actually be supportive for gold if you have demand destruction leading to lower ‌economic ⁠activity,” Frappell added.

Kevin Warsh’s first semiannual testimony before Congress as Federal Reserve chair, along with a slate of key U.S. economic data, including June CPI, PPI and retail sales, will be closely watched this week for fresh clues on the economy, inflation and the monetary policy outlook.

Remarks from Fed ​policymakers, including Vice Chair ​Michelle Bowman and Governor ⁠Christopher Waller, later in the day are also in focus as they could provide insights on how inflationary pressures are affecting the central bank’s ​stance on interest rate hikes.

Traders are currently pricing in a 72% chance ​of a ⁠U.S. Fed interest rate hike in September, up from about 63% last week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. FEDWATCH/ COMEX gold speculators trimmed their net long positions by 1,964 contracts to 114,854 in the ⁠week to ​July 7, data released on Friday showed, following three ​consecutive weeks of increases.

Elsewhere, spot silver declined 2.6% to $58.29 per ounce, platinum shed 1.6% to $1,601.92, and palladium fell 2% to $1,251.42

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Oil prices climb as US, Iran fight for control of Hormuz

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muz, one of the most important trade routes for global energy supplies.

US crude oil futures were up 4.1% at $74:33 per barrel as of 9:15 p.m. ET. Brent futures, the international benchmark, traded 3.88% higher at $78.96.

The US military launched another wave of strikes Sunday against Iran after hitting 140 targets on Saturday, according to U.S. Central Command. The strikes are in response to an attack by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps on a container ship transiting Hormuz.

Iran responded Sunday with strikes on U.S. military facilities in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain and Oman, according to the state news agency Tasnim.

Iranian state media said the Revolutionary Guard had closed the Hormuz until further notice, but the U.S. military disputed that claim. Centcom said the strait was open to “all vessels seeking to lawfully transit.”

“U.S. forces are positioned and prepared to ensure that freedom of navigation remains available despite unwarranted Iranian aggression, harassment, threats, and arbitrary declarations,” Centcom said in a social media post Sunday. “Iran does not control the strait. Traffic is flowing.”

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PSX has a steep sell-off this week.

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— The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) launched the first trading session of the week with a dramatic sell-off, as intense selling pressure pulled the benchmark KSE-100 Index down by more than 2,100 points in early trade.

At the opening of the session, the benchmark index plummeted to the psychological barrier of about 180,100 points after losing more than 2,100 points.

The fall came after a positive conclusion in the previous trading session, when the KSE-100 Index gained 982 points to conclude at 182,241 points at the end of the day.

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