Business
As the Middle East turmoil disturbs markets, Pakistan reduces its mango export objective by 30,000 tonnes.
In response to the fact that one of Pakistan’s most lucrative fruit exports is being threatened by conflict-related interruptions across the Middle East, skyrocketing freight costs, and climate-related crop losses, Pakistan’s mango exporters have reduced their export objective for this year by 30,000 tonnes, which is roughly 30 percent.
According to the Pakistan Fruit and Vegetable Exporters, Importers and Merchants Association (PFVA), exporters now anticipate shipping 80,000 tonnes of mangoes this season, which is a decrease from 110,000 tonnes the previous year. Additionally, export earnings are projected to fall to between $75 million and $80 million, which is a decrease from approximately $110 million the previous year.
It was on Sunday that the first shipments of mangoes from Pakistan were sent to markets outside of Pakistan, marking the official beginning of the export season.
There are a number of mango varieties that are native to Pakistan, including Sindhri, Chaunsa, and Anwar Ratol. Pakistan is the fourth largest mango grower in the world. One of the most significant horticultural exports from the country is the fruit, and the Gulf states are the country’s most important trading partners in the international market.
According to a statement released by the Patron-in-Chief of the PFVA, Waheed Ahmed, “the export target has been reduced to 80,000 tonnes from 110,000 tonnes last year.” This decision was made in light of the enormous problems that are currently being faced by the trade.
As a result of tensions involving Iran, Israel, the United States, and the wider Middle East, shipping routes have been disrupted, cargo movements have been delayed, and transportation costs have sharply increased across a region that serves as Pakistan’s most important mango market. This reduction comes at a time when exporters are struggling to deal with the fallout of these tensions.
Approximately 35 percent of Pakistan’s mango exports are destined for the Gulf region. In addition, exporters utilise overland trade routes that pass through Afghanistan, which is Pakistan’s neighbour, in order to access Central Asian markets.
According to Ahmed, exporters have become cautious as a result of the uncertainty surrounding regional crises.
His statement was that the Gulf crisis was the primary cause of this situation.
“Access to Afghanistan is absolutely restricted. There is also a crisis in Iran. In addition, there is a conflict going on in the Middle East.
“We are unable to predict what will take place tomorrow.”
Exporters have reported that the unrest in the region has resulted in a significant increase in the expenses of shipping.
According to the PFVA, the number of dollars charged for sea freight to Gulf destinations increased from approximately $1,200 to $1,400 per container during the previous season to as high as $6,000 to $7,000. The prices of air freight have also increased by more than twofold, reaching approximately two dollars per kilogram.
Business
As oil rises due to concerns about the Strait of Hormuz closing, gold falls more than 1%.
– Gold prices slid more than 1% on Monday as fears of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz drove oil prices sharply higher, reviving expectations of elevated interest rates to combat inflationary pressures from escalating hostilities in the Middle East.
Spot gold dropped 1.5% to $4,060.36 per ounce by 0541 GMT. U.S. gold futures for August delivery were down 1.1% at $4,068.30.
U.S. and Iranian forces have exchanged heavy missile and drone assaults, with Tehran targeting U.S. facilities in states across the Gulf on Sunday and saying it had again closed the vital Strait of Hormuz.
Oil prices jumped about 4%, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields climbed, and share markets slipped in Asia.
“Any breakout of violence in the Gulf is accompanied by pressure on gold,” said Nicholas Frappell, global head of institutional markets at ABC Refinery.
“The question is, if the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively or partially closed, does that lead to a deflationary effect, further down the road, that might actually be supportive for gold if you have demand destruction leading to lower economic activity,” Frappell added.
Kevin Warsh’s first semiannual testimony before Congress as Federal Reserve chair, along with a slate of key U.S. economic data, including June CPI, PPI and retail sales, will be closely watched this week for fresh clues on the economy, inflation and the monetary policy outlook.
Remarks from Fed policymakers, including Vice Chair Michelle Bowman and Governor Christopher Waller, later in the day are also in focus as they could provide insights on how inflationary pressures are affecting the central bank’s stance on interest rate hikes.
Traders are currently pricing in a 72% chance of a U.S. Fed interest rate hike in September, up from about 63% last week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. FEDWATCH/ COMEX gold speculators trimmed their net long positions by 1,964 contracts to 114,854 in the week to July 7, data released on Friday showed, following three consecutive weeks of increases.
Elsewhere, spot silver declined 2.6% to $58.29 per ounce, platinum shed 1.6% to $1,601.92, and palladium fell 2% to $1,251.42
Business
Oil prices climb as US, Iran fight for control of Hormuz
muz, one of the most important trade routes for global energy supplies.
US crude oil futures were up 4.1% at $74:33 per barrel as of 9:15 p.m. ET. Brent futures, the international benchmark, traded 3.88% higher at $78.96.
The US military launched another wave of strikes Sunday against Iran after hitting 140 targets on Saturday, according to U.S. Central Command. The strikes are in response to an attack by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps on a container ship transiting Hormuz.
Iran responded Sunday with strikes on U.S. military facilities in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain and Oman, according to the state news agency Tasnim.
Iranian state media said the Revolutionary Guard had closed the Hormuz until further notice, but the U.S. military disputed that claim. Centcom said the strait was open to “all vessels seeking to lawfully transit.”
“U.S. forces are positioned and prepared to ensure that freedom of navigation remains available despite unwarranted Iranian aggression, harassment, threats, and arbitrary declarations,” Centcom said in a social media post Sunday. “Iran does not control the strait. Traffic is flowing.”
Business
PSX has a steep sell-off this week.
— The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) launched the first trading session of the week with a dramatic sell-off, as intense selling pressure pulled the benchmark KSE-100 Index down by more than 2,100 points in early trade.
At the opening of the session, the benchmark index plummeted to the psychological barrier of about 180,100 points after losing more than 2,100 points.
The fall came after a positive conclusion in the previous trading session, when the KSE-100 Index gained 982 points to conclude at 182,241 points at the end of the day.
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