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Iran-US confrontation hits Pakistan’s exports to the Middle East hard

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— The current Iran-US war has not only rattled the global energy markets and the international economy, but has also severely harmed Pakistan’s trade with shipments to Middle Eastern countries nosediving by as much as 70 percent.

Official documents obtained by Dunya News revealed that Pakistan had a substantial fall in exports in March and April. Exports to Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries plummeted about 70 percent in March alone, from more than $315.1 million in March 2025 to $95.4 million in the same month in 2026.

The downturn continued in April albeit at a reduced pace, with shipments to GCC countries falling by more than 23 percent. April 2025 saw Pakistan send commodities worth $200 million to the region, while in April 2026, it exported goods worth $152.4 million.

The GCC bloc includes the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Oman, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Qatar.

March saw the UAE suffer the biggest loss in exports among member states, down 74 percent. Exports to Saudi Arabia decreased 56 percent, to Qatar by 64 percent and to Oman by 85 percent. While shipments to Kuwait fell 21 percent, with Bahrain recording a drop of 85 percent.

The violence has affected sea and air transport lines and raised prices for shipping and logistics, the Ministry of Commerce said. This has impacted the UAE hard because of the breakdown in its logistical network.

Pakistan is significantly reliant on the UAE’s Jebel Ali Port for regional trade, with approximately 80 percent of its trade with GCC countries moving through the key transit centre.

Trade experts worry that prolonged instability in the region could result in higher shipping insurance prices, slower flow of cargo and a further burden on Pakistani exporters already suffering rising production and transportation charges.

Analysts also see wider economic implications for Pakistan in case of lingering tensions, including pressure on foreign exchange earnings and trade balances, as the Middle East is a major destination for Pakistani exports and a key source of economic activity linked to overseas workers and regional trade.

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Pakistan sees 66pc drop in terrorist attacks over five weeks: Report

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The security forces have conducted effective operations in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan which have resulted in a steep drop in the number of terrorist strikes.

The Pakistan Institute for Conflict and Security Studies (PICSS) said in a new report that terrorist assaults had fallen by about sixty-six percent in a five week period.

The report claimed attacks reduced to 21 between October 16 and 22, from 61 registered between September 18 and 24.

There was also a week-on-week drop of 38 per cent in militant attacks from October 16-22. In such attacks, the number of people injured fell from 20 in the previous week to 11 in the same period, a fall of 45 percent.

PICSS said security forces have conducted 10 operations in which 33 insurgents were killed.

The research also looked at the effect of an internal leadership struggle in Fitna al-Hindustan and changes in the propaganda approach of Fitna al-Khawarij on the militant scene.

The data show that insurgent activity has gone down throughout the review period, but security challenges continue in regions of the country.

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FinMin says Pakistan has sufficient oil, energy supplies until Nov

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Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb said that Pakistan’s crude oil and other energy supplies are satisfactory. He said the government has made sufficient provisions to cover the country’s energy needs till November and further efforts are being taken to secure supply during winter.

Aurangzeb remarked while addressing a ceremony at a private university in Lahore that Pakistan has not had an energy shortage and there were no queues at gas stations or law and order issues due to an energy crisis.

He did acknowledge, however, that more had to be done to satisfy the country’s gas and liquefied natural gas (LNG) needs.

Talking about the economic performance of the country, the finance minister said that the information technology (IT) export services of Pakistan increased from one billion dollars to 4.6 billion dollars. “We expect IT exports to reach $5.5 billion in the current fiscal year,” he continued.

Aurangzeb said foreign exchange reserves were sufficient to cover more than three months of imports and had reached a record high. He recalled that at one time the reserves had dropped to the equivalent of only two weeks’ imports.

Pakistan’s credit rating has improved three times since April last year and the administration had taken major steps to recover access to international financial markets, he said.

Pakistan carried out a private placement in April this year, tapped the international markets by the issuing of Panda bonds and issued bonds worth three billion euros in the first week of September, the minister said.

Investors from Asia, the Middle East, Europe and the United States showed interest, he said, adding that orders received from investors for Pakistan’s euro bonds were twice the amount offered.

Aurangzeb also said that international investors were reviewing Pakistan’s economic outlook after its interaction with the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The current IMF program is due to expire in October next year, he noted.

On energy supplies, the minister said Pakistan had taken adequate measures for energy procurement and supplies in spite of regional crises. Arrangements were made to meet requirements until November and preparations were in hand for the winter season.

The finance minister said the administration has opted for targeted subsidies instead of blanket subsidies so that the assistance reaches the deserving part of the community.

He said that motorbikes, three wheelers and automobiles with engines below 800cc were given targeted incentives. So far, the relief had reached around 12 million distinct beneficiaries, while an estimated 40 to 50 million people across the country had benefited altogether.

“Pakistan is continuing structural reforms along with efforts to maintain economic stability, and reforms have moved beyond the planning stage and are now being implemented,” Aurangzeb added.

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Gold prices drop for fifth day as global rates fall below $4,000

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Gold prices in Pakistan continued to tumble on Saturday, recording a fifth straight day of losses as international bullion prices fell below the critical $4,000 per ounce threshold.

The All Sarafa Association said the continued decrease drove gold to a five-month low in both domestic and international markets.

In the local market, the price of 24-carat gold declined by Rs2,500 per tola to Rs422,036. The price of 10 grams also decreased by Rs2,144 to Rs361,686.

The current cut is the latest in a run of sustained deterioration in bullion prices with the domestic market mirroring the slide in foreign rates.

World prices

International gold prices also saw another downturn, dropping by $25 per ounce to $3,995. The move sent bullion below the psychologically important $4,000 barrier, boosting pressure on local prices.

Gold prices fell for the fifth consecutive day in global and domestic markets. The group said the latest numbers “show the scale of the recent retreat” with prices dropping to their lowest in five months.

The jewellery markets in Pakistan observe the international bullion movements closely as global price changes affect local rates, alongside currency fluctuations and other market considerations.

Silver drops

Also prices of silver also came down in domestic trade. Silver prices decreased by Rs7 per tola to Rs5,858.

The simultaneous fall in gold and silver is a reflection of the wider weakness seen across the local precious metals market.

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