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NEC to convene tomorrow as govt wraps up budget 2026-27

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The National Economic Council (NEC) is slated to hold an important meeting tomorrow at the Prime Minister’s House as the government is close to finishing the federal budget for the fiscal year 2026-27.

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif will chair the meeting which would be held at 3 pm and would discuss the approval of the national development budget and identification of major economic priorities for the next fiscal year.

According to the schedule of the meeting, the chief ministers of all four provinces would be participating as members of the council and the discussions would be held on the plans of federal and provincial development spending.

The council will analyse the development budget for the outgoing fiscal year 2025-26 and assess the success on the existing public sector investment initiatives before making allocations for the next financial year.

Provincial governments are also required to prepare their Annual Development Programmes (ADPs). The council will discuss ideas related to federal and provincial development expenditures and approve significant economic targets for 2026-27.

Besides deliberations on the Public Sector Development Programme (PSDP), and other public sector investment goals, the participants will be briefed about the major social and economic indicators in detail by provinces.

The meeting agenda will also feature a presentation of the performance report of the Central Development Working Party (CDWP) for the period from 1st April, 2025 to 31st March, 2026.

The assessment will also include reports relating to the approvals by the CDWP and the Executive Committee of the National Economic Council (ECNEC) for different development initiatives over the same period.

Participants are also scheduled to be presented monitoring and assessment reports regarding important development initiatives in the country.

The conference will begin with a full presentation by the Federal Minister for Planning on development priorities, investment plans and allocations for the next financial year.

The NEC conference is seen as an important precursor to the formal announcement of the federal budget with policy makers trying to balance the demands of the fiscal limits with those of the development needs and economic growth goals.

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As oil rises due to concerns about the Strait of Hormuz closing, gold falls more than 1%.

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– Gold prices slid ‌more than 1% on Monday as fears of a closure of the Strait of Hormuz drove oil prices sharply higher, reviving expectations of elevated interest rates to combat inflationary pressures from escalating hostilities in the Middle ​East.

Spot gold dropped 1.5% to $4,060.36 per ounce by 0541 GMT. U.S. gold futures for August ​delivery were down 1.1% at $4,068.30.

U.S. and Iranian forces have exchanged heavy missile ⁠and drone assaults, with Tehran targeting U.S. facilities in states across the Gulf on Sunday and saying ​it had again closed the vital Strait of Hormuz.

Oil prices jumped about 4%, the dollar and ​U.S. Treasury yields climbed, and share markets slipped in Asia.

“Any breakout of violence in the Gulf is accompanied by pressure on gold,” said Nicholas Frappell, global head of institutional markets at ABC Refinery.

“The question is, if the ​Strait of Hormuz remains effectively or partially closed, does that lead to a deflationary effect, ​further down the road, that might actually be supportive for gold if you have demand destruction leading to lower ‌economic ⁠activity,” Frappell added.

Kevin Warsh’s first semiannual testimony before Congress as Federal Reserve chair, along with a slate of key U.S. economic data, including June CPI, PPI and retail sales, will be closely watched this week for fresh clues on the economy, inflation and the monetary policy outlook.

Remarks from Fed ​policymakers, including Vice Chair ​Michelle Bowman and Governor ⁠Christopher Waller, later in the day are also in focus as they could provide insights on how inflationary pressures are affecting the central bank’s ​stance on interest rate hikes.

Traders are currently pricing in a 72% chance ​of a ⁠U.S. Fed interest rate hike in September, up from about 63% last week, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. FEDWATCH/ COMEX gold speculators trimmed their net long positions by 1,964 contracts to 114,854 in the ⁠week to ​July 7, data released on Friday showed, following three ​consecutive weeks of increases.

Elsewhere, spot silver declined 2.6% to $58.29 per ounce, platinum shed 1.6% to $1,601.92, and palladium fell 2% to $1,251.42

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Oil prices climb as US, Iran fight for control of Hormuz

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muz, one of the most important trade routes for global energy supplies.

US crude oil futures were up 4.1% at $74:33 per barrel as of 9:15 p.m. ET. Brent futures, the international benchmark, traded 3.88% higher at $78.96.

The US military launched another wave of strikes Sunday against Iran after hitting 140 targets on Saturday, according to U.S. Central Command. The strikes are in response to an attack by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps on a container ship transiting Hormuz.

Iran responded Sunday with strikes on U.S. military facilities in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain and Oman, according to the state news agency Tasnim.

Iranian state media said the Revolutionary Guard had closed the Hormuz until further notice, but the U.S. military disputed that claim. Centcom said the strait was open to “all vessels seeking to lawfully transit.”

“U.S. forces are positioned and prepared to ensure that freedom of navigation remains available despite unwarranted Iranian aggression, harassment, threats, and arbitrary declarations,” Centcom said in a social media post Sunday. “Iran does not control the strait. Traffic is flowing.”

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PSX has a steep sell-off this week.

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— The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) launched the first trading session of the week with a dramatic sell-off, as intense selling pressure pulled the benchmark KSE-100 Index down by more than 2,100 points in early trade.

At the opening of the session, the benchmark index plummeted to the psychological barrier of about 180,100 points after losing more than 2,100 points.

The fall came after a positive conclusion in the previous trading session, when the KSE-100 Index gained 982 points to conclude at 182,241 points at the end of the day.

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